NBC: 'Parks & Recreation' Is Likely To Be Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

January 21st, 2014

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


Polar_Bear_sketch

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from December 30, 2013 - January 19, 2014):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Welcome To The Family* canceled 0.52
The Michael J. Fox Show :oops: 0.61
Ironside* canceled 0.61
Dracula (F) :cry: :cry: 0.63
Sean Saves The World :oops: 0.66
Parenthood :| :| :| 0.96
Community :| :| :| 0.96
Parks & Recreation :) :) :) :) 1.02
Revolution :| :| :| 1.06
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.09
Chicago PD :) :) :) :) 1.33
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.33
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.44
The Blacklist renewed 1.90

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While the Cancellation Bear counsels that fans should ignore what TV executives say in public, was it the fact that Bob Greenblatt chatted about Parks & Recreation's future last weekend that caused the bear to move his prediction to "likely to be renewed" or was it the fact the bear had already planned to do it this week for a variety of reasons, and he didm't have anything else he wanted to put in the headline? Whichever you believe it to be, it's changed now.

Chicago PD ratings swooned in its second episode, but it's still well clear of the bear. Stay tuned.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2014.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.
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Notes:

:oops: certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
:cry: :cry: more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
:| :| :| toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
:) :) :) :) more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: certain to be renewed by May, 2014

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The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Predictions Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • Dan S

    Thrilled that P&R should be returning next season. Keeping fingers crossed for CPD & hope it doesn’t go any lower. The crossovers planned with CF & SVU should hopefully give it a boost. RVN on the other hand I’m afraid won’t be returning though I hope otherwise.

  • Chris J

    @James

    I don’t think NBC would schedule Emerald City after the Voice.

    They probably learned their lesson wasting the lead in on a heavily serialized genre series (i.e. Revolution) last year.

    Emerald City would be best off on Fridays with Grimm.

  • StevenD

    @tvwatcher

    Revolution is on at 8 this year, and SVU is on at 9, so i think The Blacklist will be okay to air at 9 as well. Wouldn’t want to put the show up against Scandal anyways.

  • Joe

    Community and Parks are almost definitely going to be back at this point. Parks is like, 99% coming back unless it falls to a 0.7 or something. Community is less certain but as long as it can stay above a 1.0, it should be an easy renewal.

    The question is whether they will get full seasons or half seasons, and whether they’ll be certain final season orders.

  • StevenD

    Interesting news that the Murder She Wrote reboot will not be going forward, at least for this season.

  • New England Mike

    It’s interesting to me that Parks and Rec, which is on NBC, and is likely to be renewed but CBS may actually consider getting rid of either Mom, Two and a Half Men, or even The Crazy Ones, although their ratings are far superior to any NBC comedy.

  • Rebooted

    NBC is hard to predict because I like most of their drams and hate their comedies.

    Sunday
    SNF

    Midseason:
    The Bible
    NEW COMEDY
    NEW COMEDY
    Parenthood (final 10)

    Monday
    The Voice
    Salvation (NEW DRAMA)

    Tuesday
    The Voice
    The Odyssey (NEW)
    Chicago Fire

    Wednesday
    Parks
    Bad Judge (NEW)
    Celebrity Apprentice/Chicago PD at midseason
    SVU

    Thursday
    The Biggest Loser/About A Boy and a new comedy at midseason
    The Blacklist
    State of Affairs (NEW)

    Friday
    Dateline NBC-maybe with a short run of communtiy for 6 weeks (12 eps.)
    Grimm
    Emerald City/Dracula (umm Bob Greenblatt sounded optimistic about its renewal-unfortunately!)

    Cancelled:
    Revolution
    Michael J. Fox Show
    Sean Saves the World
    (probably) Believe, Crisis, Growing Up Fisher

    THOUGHTS?????

  • Isobel

    I think Chicago pd and community will join parks in renewal or I hope so, revolution I’m sorry I think will get cancelled.

  • skyfi

    NBC will have Dracula’s second season next fall and then Emerald City after it finishes.

  • Chris J

    @Rebooted

    NBC shouldn’t waste the Voice lead-in on a church soap. That’s too narrow of a drama to take full advantage of the lead in.

    There’s no reason for NBC to air Celebrity Apprentice Wed 9pm. It would likely get worst ratings than SVU is getting there now. Celebrity Apprentice will likely function as fall spackle if a drama or comedy bloc fails.

    State Of Affairs would be DOA if it was programmed against Scandal Thursday 10pm

  • Kissan

    Monday

    8:00-The Voice(fall)/Celebrity Apprentice(winter)/The Voice(spring) 4.0
    10:00-State Of Affairs(new series) 3.3

    Tuesday

    8:00-About A Boy 2.2
    8:30-Marry Me(new series) 2.0
    9:00-The Voice(fall)/Sing Off(winter)/The Voice(spring) 3.5
    10:00-Chicago Fire 2.3

    Wednesday

    8:00-Maya Rudolph Variety Show(new series) 2.5
    8:30-Tooken(new series) 2.3
    9:00-Tin Man(fall)/Constatine(spring) 2.3
    10:00-SVU 2.1

    Thursday

    8:00-Biggest Loser(Sept-Jan)/Space Race(Feb-May) 2.1
    9:00-The Blacklist 2.6
    10:00-Chicago PD 2.1

    Friday

    8;00-Dateline(fall)/Community and Parks & Rec(13 episode final seasons,spring) 1.5
    9:00-Grimm 1.6
    10:00-Emerald City(fall)/The Wolfman 1.4

    Sunday(Midseason)

    8:00-Repeats and Specials(Jan-Feb)/The Bible A.D.(Mar 1-Apr 5)/Marry Me and Mr Robinson(Apr-May,new series) 2.4
    9:00-Repeats and Specials(Jan-Feb)/Old Souls(Mar-May,new series) 2.0
    9:30-Repeats and Specials(Jan-Feb)/Bad Judge(Mar-May,new series) 2.0
    10:00-Repeats and Specials(Jan-Feb)/Parenthood(Mar-May, 13 episode final season) 1.7

  • Chris J

    @Kissan

    I don’t see NBC giving Chicago Fire the Voice lead in again next year. The show has proven to be strong enough to possibly anchor a night

  • Chris J

    Next Fall:

    Monday

    08:00 The Voice -3.5
    10:00 The Odyssey (NEW) – 3.0

    Tuesday

    08:00 The Voice Results – 3.0
    09:00 Tooken (NEW)* – 2.5
    09:30 Old Souls (NEW)* – 2.0
    10:00 State of Affairs (NEW) – 2.2

    Wednesday

    08:00 Mission Control (NEW) – 2.0
    08:30 About A Boy – 1.8
    09:00 Chicago Fire – 2.0
    10:00 Law and Order: SVU – 1.8

    Thursday

    08:00 The Biggest Loser – 1.7
    09:00 The Blacklist – 2.5
    10:00 Chicago PD – 2.0

    Friday

    08:00 Dateline – 1.3
    09:00 Grimm* – 1.5
    10:00 Emerald City (NEW)* – 1.6

    *late fall premier

    Winter:

    American Ninja Warriors
    The Sing Off
    Maya Rudolph’s Variety Show (NEW)
    Hollywood Game Night
    Celebrity Apprentice
    The Slap (NEW Mini-series)

    Spring:

    Sunday (Spring)

    07:00 Dateline – 1.3
    08:00 The Bible A.D. (NEW) – 3.0
    09:00 Mr. Robinson (NEW) – 2.5
    09:30 Marry Me (NEW) – 2.0
    10:00 Coercion (NEW) – 2.0

    Thursday (Spring)

    08:00 The Space Race (NEW) – 3.5
    09:00 Blacklist – 3.0
    10:00 Chicago PD – 2.5

    Friday (Spring)

    08:00 Constantine (NEW) – 1.5
    09:00 Grimm – 1.6
    10:00 Hannibal (Final) – 1.0

    Summer:

    America’s Got Talent
    Welcome to Sweden (NEW)
    Working with Engles (NEW)
    Crossbones? Dracula?

    In Season Spackle or pushed to Summer:

    Parenthood (if “State of Affairs” or “Coercion” bomb)
    Parks and Rec (if “Mission Control” or “Mr Robinson” bomb)
    Community (if “About A Boy” or “Marry Me” bomb)

  • Ultima

    @Rebooted
    NBC is hard to predict because I like most of their drams and hate their comedies.

    Why should that matter? If you’re trying to predict if a show is going to be renewed or canceled (or how the network will schedule), how you feel personally about the shows shouldn’t be considered.

  • brian

    I agree that it’s too difficult to make a prediction right now for next fall’s schedule. We haven’t had a chance to see how the spring series have checked out yet.

    How I’d Guess:

    MONDAY
    7 The Voice
    9 New Drama (probably State of Affairs?)

    Worked well the last couple of years. NBC is getting some traction thanks to the Voice. Can’t see State of Affairs on Thursday, not with Scandal already there.

    TUESDAY

    7 The Voice
    8 Sitcom (maybe About a Boy?)
    830 Sitcom (Maya Rudolph?)
    9 Chicago Fire

    The Voice is working well here as well. Chicago Fire has benefited from moving to Tuesdays. I think NBC might keep About a Boy here or a surviving sitcom and pair it with Maya Rudolph’s or Craig Robinson’s sitcom.

    Wednesday

    7 Drama
    8 Law and Order SVU
    9 Chicago PD/New Drama?

    On Wednesdays, NBC has an opportunity to give a spot to one of its promising sophomore series like Believe, Crisis, or The Night Shift. Can’t see them giving essentially two more seasons to Revolution. 9 PM depends on whether Chicago PD can stabilize or increase its rating. If not, NBC can try a sophomore series here and a rookie at 7 PM.

    Thursday

    7 The Biggest Loser
    8 Parks and Rec
    830 New Sitcom (Tooken/Tina Fey comedy?)
    9 The Blacklist

    There’s an opening with Survivor on Wednesdays. I think Biggest Loser will move to Thursdays to stabilize the network. They’ll keep Parks and Rec at 8 PM to help cocoon a new sitcom at 8:30, perhaps the one involving Tina Fey. The Blacklist will drop some on Thursdays, but should end up with numbers above Parenthood.

    Friday

    7 Dateline
    8 Grimm
    9 Emerald City/Wolf Man

    I think NBC will stick with what works and solidify the 7 and 8 PM hours. I can see them going with Emerald City at 9, it fits well with Grimm. Wolf Man could work in the Spring. Hannibal won’t make it to Season 3. Dracula might see a second season, but if it does, it won’t be until the Summer.

    Sunday
    6 Football

    Spring NBC
    6 Dateline NBC
    7 The Bible
    8 Parenthood
    9 New Drama (The Odyssey/The Slap)

    Fall is set in stone. Spring is where I think they place The Bible on Sundays to draw some viewers and hopefully light a spark to Parenthood. Then they try to build a new series to close off the night.

    There should be some questions:
    Where’s Community? Probably in Mid-season, replacing a sitcom that didn’t work or subbing in for Parks and Rec.
    What if all 3 of spring’s dramas fail? Then maybe Revolution gets another season. Then, they might do a new drama on Wednesdays following SVU.
    What about both sitcoms failing in the spring? Then, maybe Community takes over the Tuesday spot following The Voice. I can’t see them replicating ABC’s Tuesdays from this past fall.
    Where’s Celeb Apprentice? Either it will split the two seasons of Biggest Loser on Thursdays or take over for it in the Spring. I can’t see them settling for those numbers on Sundays. Not when The Bible should give them big ratings.

    Engels/Sweden should be springish/summerish sitcoms. Old Soul/Carmichael are other possibilities for Fall or Spring. Crossbones could go either way depending on its ratings. I think they stick with The Sing Off splitting the Voice’s two seasons on Mondays and Tuesdays. Hollywood Game Night could serve as schedule putty. Murder She Wrote is DOA, thanks to some news I read today. Hannibal won’t live to see Season 3 and Dracula’s ratings are too anemic to see Season 2.

  • StevenD

    NBC has put into development a comedy staring Bill Cosby, but it is an off-season pilot so it probably won’t affect what’s picked up this year

  • tobes

    What I would do for NBC 2014-2015

    Sunday midseason
    8:00 The Bible A.D.
    9:00 Mr. Robinson
    9:30 Marry Me
    10:00 Parenthood (Final Season)

    Monday
    8:00 The Voice (Fall and Spring) Biggest Loser (Winter
    10:00 State of Affairs

    Tuesday
    8:00 The Voice
    9:00 The Odyssey
    10:00 Chicago Fire

    Wednesday
    8:00 Maya Rudolph variety show
    8:30 Tooken
    9:00 SVU
    10:00 Tin Man (Fall) Constantine (Spring)

    Thursday
    8:00/8:30 Community and Parks and Recreation(Fall into winter) Final seasons for both. Space Race in the spring
    9:00 The Blacklist
    10:00 Chicago P.D.

    Friday
    8:00 Dateline
    9:00 Grimm
    10:00 Wolf-Man (Fall) Emerald City (Spring)

    Thoughts???

  • Rebooted

    Revised NBC schedule:::

    Sunday at mid season
    8:00-The Bible (NEW)
    9:00-Salvation (NEW)
    10:00-Parenthood (final 10)

    Monday
    8:00-The Voice
    10:00-State of Affairs (NEW)

    Tuesday
    8:00-The Voice
    9:00-The Odyssey (NEW)
    10:00-Chicago Fire

    Wednesday
    8:00-Biggest Loser/8:00-Parks and 8:30-Bad Judge @ Mid Season
    9:00-SVU
    10:00 Crisis or Believe or Night Shift

    Thursday
    8:00-Bill Cosby comedy (NEW)
    8:30-About A Boy (if renewed)
    9:00-The Blacklist
    10:00-Chicago PD (Not worth putting anything new against Scandal)

    Friday
    8:00-Dateline-maybe with a short final run for Community for 6 weeks (12eps)
    9:00-Grimm
    10:00-Emerald City/Dracula (Greenblatt was optimistic of its renewal-unfortunately)

    THOUGHTS?????

  • Chris J

    @Brian @Tobes

    Maya Rudolph’s show is an hour long Variety program similar to “In Living Color” or SNL.

    @Rebooted

    It may be too risky for NBC to program Bill Cosby’s comedy opposite the Big Bang Theory.

    Also Biggest Loser would probably fall even more going head to head with Survivor.

  • Chris J

    For my mock schedule I would place Bill Cosby’s new show on Sunday paired with Mr. Robinson.

    Both would be great family comedies, and I think Bill Cosby will be able to retain a lot of The Bible AD’s audience simply because The Bible series skews older. Many of those folks grew up with the original Cosby show so they’ll be more likely to hang around and watch grandpa Cosby now.

    So my schedule Sunday would look like:

    07:00 Dateline – 1.3
    08:00 The Bible A.D. (NEW) – 3.0
    09:00 The Cosby Show (NEW) – 2.8
    09:30 Mr. Robinson (NEW) – 2.4
    10:00 Coercion (NEW) – 2.0

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