CBS: If Another Sitcom Must Go, It'll Be 'Mom' Or 'Two And A Half Men' That Gets Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

January 28th, 2014

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


Bloody-Beear-Mid-distance.5721

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from December 30, 2013 - January 26, 2014):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Hostages* :oops: 0.46
Blue Bloods (F) :) :) :) :) 0.63
Hawaii Five-0 (F) :) :) :) :) 0.68
Intelligence :oops: 0.69
The Good Wife :| :| :| 0.70
We Are Men* canceled 0.74
The Mentalist :cry: :cry: 0.74
CSI :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.79
Elementary :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.83
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.88
Mom :) :) :) :) 0.90
The Crazy Ones :) :) :) :) 0.96
Mike & Molly :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.98
Two and a Half Men :) :) :) :) 1.01
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.01
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.05
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.18
NCIS :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.31
How I Met Your Mother final season 1.34
The Millers :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.34
The Big Bang Theory :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 2.43

-
Chuck Lorre is behind four of the eight current CBS sitcoms (The Big Bang Theory, Mike & Molly, Mom, Two and a Half Men). Even with such success, if another CBS sitcom is to be fed to the Cancellation Bear this season, it'll be one of his.

With We Are Men axed early in the season, and How I Met Your Mother in its final season, CBS doesn't have to cancel any more of its existing sitcoms, particularly if it keeps the same four sitcom hours on the schedule next season. They could still premiere two new Fall sitcoms by holding Mike & Molly on the bench like they did this season. But there are reasonable scenarios under which they'd need to cancel at least one more sitcom (like a reduction back to three sitcom hours).

If another CBS sitcom is to be canceled, it'll either be Mom, a freshman, and the lowest rated of the current CBS sitcoms, or Two and a Half Men, a very expensive, and now just average rated show.

The bear's still got both predicted as "likely to be renewed". The bear's not sure he's going to get much more information before late April that will move that prediction before his final thumbs up or thumbs down. It should be noted that TAAHM is exactly the kind of show that exists in one the bear's blind spots, an old expensive show with just passable ratings. It's not unknown for such shows to be canceled while the bear is predicting renewal.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2014.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
-
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.
-
Notes:

:oops: certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
:cry: :cry: more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
:| :| :| toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
:) :) :) :) more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: certain to be renewed by May, 2014

-
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Predictions Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • gerry

    i would think that cbs will keep its sitcom hours at least for now, since they’ve actually produced zero successful new dramas this season. so, fingers crossed, mom is safe.

  • Juarhela

    (sigh) I’m sad about The Mentalist. I’m kind of excited about the revamped story. What are the chances of it avoiding the bear?

  • Lewis

    I reckon if they want rid of Two and a Half Men, they’ll sign it on to do one last season to finish the series for good.

  • MARTY

    juarhela none cbs doesnt own the mentalist i e no syndication money and ratings dont justify renewal in that case

  • Jeff (Canada)

    One would think that CBS would be respectful enough to announce 2.5 Men as having a “final season” and not just outright canceling it. If they don’t cancel it this season, I can see them announcing next season as the last, at the Upfronts in May.

  • MARTY

    jeff its business the 2 leads make over 40 million between them and like the mentalist cbs doesnt own the show so no syndication money. its been reportedcbs is now losing money on it, so just it will say so long

  • Jon

    My money is still on the crazy ones as being the first of those three to go. If they get thur night football there will be two of them cancelled maybe 3. I still say mom is safer than men in the chuck lore battle.

  • Tommy Mickens

    I’d have Mom, TAAHM and The Crazy Ones on the bubble. TCO are slightly above Mom now, but it might not be the case by the end of the season, so because of how close they are at the moment I’d consider them in the same boat. Especially since Mom might be cheaper (no expensive stars in it like Robin Williams must be and SMG might be) and we know CBS likes Lorre. But, like you, I could see them renewing all three, or cancelling one or two (though not all three, and if they cancel two, I would lean more towards them cancelling TCO and one Lorre rather than two Lorre shows).

  • Jeff (Canada)

    Valid points. Maybe once the Olympics are done we can expect a press release about the series finale date. Or in the very least give the show a head’s up that it’s ending so they can write a proper finale.

    Don’t get me wrong, I hate the show and I’ve always hated it, but for the fans that do watch it I would want it to be a happy ending for them.

  • SerferTJ

    I know we’re trained not to be Retentionistas here, but I don’t see why they would renew “The Crazy Ones” and cancel “Mom”.

    “Mom” will pull a 2.0 out of a 2.2 lead-in against heavier competition (The Voice, Sleepy Hollow, DWTS) while “The Crazy Ones” gets a 2.0 out of a 2.8 lead-in.

  • Nathan

    It won’t be The Big Bang Theory. I want Two and a Half Men to go but I don’t see it happening before the other 2. I think it’d be Mom or The Crazy Ones. I think The Crazy Ones could go before any Lorre production because of his tenure.

  • Dennis

    Actually Robin Williams gets paid 165,000 an episode while Anna Faris gets 140,000. So that is not that big of a difference

  • RyanCanada

    i think if the millers switched time slots, it would be screwed. i think MOM should move there and see how it preforms with a lead in of over 20 million

  • Tommy M.

    I don’t think CBS will reduce their comedy hours next season, however it’s definitely possibly the following season. Everyone thought that they would dump their Wednesday 8PM comedy block after it performed poorly with The New Adventures of Old Christine and Gary Unmarried, but they held onto it for another season before doing one of the biggest shakeups to their schedule in recent history. I’m not saying it won’t happen, but I think they’ll be patient and keep the same number of comedies next season in the hopes of finding another hit.

  • RyanCanada

    2.5 men should be cancelled, especially seeing how the salaries do NOT reflect the ratings anymore.

  • PRW

    I think M&M will be in fall schedule with 13 episode 2.5 men on the bench to replace a dud freshman.

  • Tommy M.

    It’s also worth mentioning that while their new comedies aren’t going great, they are doing a lot better then CBS’s new dramas this year.

  • MARTY

    bill if the 1.5 holds with intelligance do you change the status of the show thanks

  • MARTY

    if not what does change it

  • Candy Clouds

    I don’t see CBS ending two of their long-running sitcoms at the same time, so my vote goes to Mom.

    As for Mike and Molly, I see it as the new Rules of Engagement.

© 2014 Tribune Digital Ventures