CBS: If Another Sitcom Must Go, It'll Be 'Mom' Or 'Two And A Half Men' That Gets Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

January 28th, 2014

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from December 30, 2013 - January 26, 2014):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Hostages* :oops: 0.46
Blue Bloods (F) :) :) :) :) 0.63
Hawaii Five-0 (F) :) :) :) :) 0.68
Intelligence :oops: 0.69
The Good Wife :| :| :| 0.70
We Are Men* canceled 0.74
The Mentalist :cry: :cry: 0.74
CSI :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.79
Elementary :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.83
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.88
Mom :) :) :) :) 0.90
The Crazy Ones :) :) :) :) 0.96
Mike & Molly :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.98
Two and a Half Men :) :) :) :) 1.01
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.01
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.05
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.18
NCIS :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.31
How I Met Your Mother final season 1.34
The Millers :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.34
The Big Bang Theory :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 2.43

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Chuck Lorre is behind four of the eight current CBS sitcoms (The Big Bang Theory, Mike & Molly, Mom, Two and a Half Men). Even with such success, if another CBS sitcom is to be fed to the Cancellation Bear this season, it'll be one of his.

With We Are Men axed early in the season, and How I Met Your Mother in its final season, CBS doesn't have to cancel any more of its existing sitcoms, particularly if it keeps the same four sitcom hours on the schedule next season. They could still premiere two new Fall sitcoms by holding Mike & Molly on the bench like they did this season. But there are reasonable scenarios under which they'd need to cancel at least one more sitcom (like a reduction back to three sitcom hours).

If another CBS sitcom is to be canceled, it'll either be Mom, a freshman, and the lowest rated of the current CBS sitcoms, or Two and a Half Men, a very expensive, and now just average rated show.

The bear's still got both predicted as "likely to be renewed". The bear's not sure he's going to get much more information before late April that will move that prediction before his final thumbs up or thumbs down. It should be noted that TAAHM is exactly the kind of show that exists in one the bear's blind spots, an old expensive show with just passable ratings. It's not unknown for such shows to be canceled while the bear is predicting renewal.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2014.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.
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Notes:

:oops: certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
:cry: :cry: more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
:| :| :| toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
:) :) :) :) more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: certain to be renewed by May, 2014

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The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Predictions Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • CBSviewer

    I think The Crazy Ones, The Millers and Mom will be Renewed. Two and a Half is likely to end after this season (I like the Show but it jumped the shark with Charlie’s daughter) and I feel like Friends with Better Lives will flop (difficult slot and 2 Broke Girls as lead-in). Mike & Molly will get a shortened fifth season for midseason.

  • THE OLD MAN

    I think CBS will keep the 4-hrs sitcom at least another year & would hope 2.5M would go before Mom. Mom has some serious growth potential.

    LONG LIVE THE GOOD WIFE

  • TVDude

    It’s also possible that they could hold more than one sitcom for mid-season. For example, they could hold Crazy Ones on Thursday and Mike and Molly on Monday. It seems unlikely, but a possibility.

    I do agree either one of 2.5 Men or Mom will get canceled. I think Mom will be it too since there’s little to gain from a second season. Then again, CBS doesn’t really do final seasons except for HIMYM, so 2.5 Men could be over in May.

  • David James

    The Millers is getting renewed, no question. Friends With Better Lives is being placed by what will soon be CBS second and third highest rated comedies, so it will really be a sink or swim situation. It will either perform well there or drag down the night like We Are Men did. The Crazy Ones does always hit around a 2.0, but I can’t help but think CBS could have another multi cam with smaller and cheaper stars in it that would do the same. Mom’s only real expense is Anna Faris, other than it has being a multi cam, the Chuck Lorre name and decent steady ratings. Bad Teacher won’t even be in the renewal discussions. So The Millers will be renewed, Mom, The Crazy Ones and (possibly) Friends With Better Lives will be the ‘bubble’ shows, and Bad Teacher will (probably) join We Are Men.

  • Patrick Ausgewahlt

    I think they should announce final season of Two and a Half Men. Give it an hour long finale at 9 and make the Big Bang Season finale an hour long at 8.

  • Thommy the Evil

    IF they cancel either 2.5 Men or Mom, common sense is on 2.5 Men: crazy expensive plus bad ratings (compared to old times, i.e. last spring) usually equals axe. Mom however is a promising freshman show that can at least serve as a cancellation backup. But who am I to presume that CBS’s schedulers have common sense?

    OTOH, I’m sure 2.5 Men will not go out without a fight.

  • Valentin

    Hoping both Mom & The Crazy Ones are coming back next year, both are great shows and could be hit!

  • Bob

    I am sure the Millers will get a second season and flop so hard like all of Will Arnett’s shows. What a waste to give this show such a nice timeslot.

  • Bob

    I really hope The Crazy Ones survive.

  • Dan

    @Candy Clouds – I’ve said this on another post, Mike & Molly is not the new Rules of Engagement. It was CBS’s mistake that they held it back for We Are Men and they wont do it again. Also they held back Rules because they had no sitcome room. Now they have all the extra sitcom room with 8 half hours, they could cancel only 1 more sitcom (say The Crazy Ones and FWBL), renew (M&M, 2BG, Men, TBBT, Mom and The Millers0 and still have room for 2 new shows.

    I think Mom and Men both have a better chance than The Crazy Ones. TCO is single camera, Robin Williams headlined and owned by FOX which makes it double expensive for CBS and they get no syndication benefits. The Crazy Ones is dead.

    Mom has a chance (along with The Millers) not only because of the Chuck Lorre name but because CBS may want to give it another chance. After HIMYM all of Monday is struggling. Mom isnt even that much below M&M.

    With Two and a Half Men CBS could easily cancel it but I think that depends more on if FWBL is a success. I think no matter if CBS axes Two and a Half Men or renews it, The Crazy Ones will still be cancelled.

  • Dan

    @CBS Viewer – I cant see Mike & Molly getting a short midseason order if the two only returning veteran comedies in the fall are TBBT and 2BG. M&M is coming back in the fall.

    I still think FWBL is likely to fail but since none of CBS’s new comedies are hits its too early to tell.

    I’m still going with Mom and The Millers as the only comedies from this season renewed. The jury is still out on Two and a Half Men but that is not where the show jumped the shark by any means. The new character made the series slightly more bearable but shes still better than a barely used Jake and shes more of a tertiary character for eye candy at the house for Alan and Walden to B*tch their problems to. With Two and a Half Men being renewed, CBS would figure that the series will end after next season anyway, but for The Crazy Ones to get a second season and then cancelled after that would be like this seasons The Neighbors, BATB, Revolution, The Mindy Project. (pretty much every series that was renewed form last season)

    Ultimately The Crazy Ones isn’t a flop but its not doing well enough for CBS to say, “lets invest 3 more seasons of this”. So it gets axed in May.

  • a p garcia

    I think Chuck Lorre’s creatively is spread too thin among his shows. The salary paid to 2.5 Men stars doesn’t justify it when one adds ratings. I see it being bear food over Mom In my opinion Mom is a poorer product but only by the tiniest of fractions.

  • David Howell

    With this being a contract year for TBBT (which seems to be a show that gets multi-year renewals at the moment), maybe the negotiations will involve saving the other Lorre shows.

    Between that and Crazy Ones being a singlecam, I can see CBS axing that first. I suspect the economics say 2.5 Men to go first though – scarcely higher rated, staggeringly expensive. Agreed with comments that it’d make sense for it to have a declared ending, especially as this has seemingly served as ratings rocket fuel for HIMYM.

    Notable this year: the NFL Draft is later this year, very close to upfront week. The Thursday CBS comedies lose a ton of audience to that, and none more so than 2.5 Men (hardly a surprise as you can imagine a huge audience overlap between that show and the NFL, and the last two years it’s aired at 8:30 against the top few picks). Will that have time to be a factor this year?

  • robby

    I think since cbs doesn’t own the mentalist it will be cancelled. I think that two and a half men and csi will return for a final season. I also think that once again with in the next month that tvs number one show ncis will be renewed early for season 12. I think the good wife could see cancellation. I think Hawaii five o hangs tough for renewal. I like todays Hawaii five o but alex oloughlin is not Jack Lord in the original five o.

  • Valentin

    @Dan : Let’s see how The Crazy Ones does in the Spring before calling it dead (not that dead since CBS keeps calling it “a new hit comedy” while “Mom” is still called “New Comedy”) I’m hoping that both Mom & TCO are renewed but The Millers will flop next year!

  • Tommy M.

    You guys do realize that CBS isn’t paying Ashton Kutcher his salary right? WB produces the show and they are who pays him. When it comes down to it CBS doesn’t care how much he makes, they care about how much they pay in licensing fees for the show. The lower ratings this season gives them a reason to fight for a lower fee. The same goes for Anna Farris, and Robin Williams (Fox pays him.)

  • Blake

    Please cancel Two and a Half Men

  • Valentin

    @Tommy M. thanks for making it clear :) Well, then all sitcoms (except 2BG, TBBT, M&M) are on the same boat :)

  • Tommy M.

    @ Valentin, Make no mistake, I’m not saying CBS won’t cancel 2.5 Men or any of the other comedies. I’m saying that the actors salaries are a very tiny factor in the decision making. 2.5 Men does have a higher licensing fee than the other shows have due to it’s age. The decision on 2.5 Men will come down to how much WB wants to keep the show going for syndication reasons, and how much CBS is willing to pay for it.

  • Linda E.

    @robby: Alex O’Loughlin doesn’t need to be Jack Lord. He’s doing fine giving the McGarrett character his own interpretation. One thing the producers got right, was the casting.

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