CBS: If Another Sitcom Must Go, It'll Be 'Mom' Or 'Two And A Half Men' That Gets Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

January 28th, 2014

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from December 30, 2013 - January 26, 2014):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Hostages* :oops: 0.46
Blue Bloods (F) :) :) :) :) 0.63
Hawaii Five-0 (F) :) :) :) :) 0.68
Intelligence :oops: 0.69
The Good Wife :| :| :| 0.70
We Are Men* canceled 0.74
The Mentalist :cry: :cry: 0.74
CSI :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.79
Elementary :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.83
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.88
Mom :) :) :) :) 0.90
The Crazy Ones :) :) :) :) 0.96
Mike & Molly :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.98
Two and a Half Men :) :) :) :) 1.01
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.01
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.05
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.18
NCIS :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.31
How I Met Your Mother final season 1.34
The Millers :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.34
The Big Bang Theory :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 2.43

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Chuck Lorre is behind four of the eight current CBS sitcoms (The Big Bang Theory, Mike & Molly, Mom, Two and a Half Men). Even with such success, if another CBS sitcom is to be fed to the Cancellation Bear this season, it'll be one of his.

With We Are Men axed early in the season, and How I Met Your Mother in its final season, CBS doesn't have to cancel any more of its existing sitcoms, particularly if it keeps the same four sitcom hours on the schedule next season. They could still premiere two new Fall sitcoms by holding Mike & Molly on the bench like they did this season. But there are reasonable scenarios under which they'd need to cancel at least one more sitcom (like a reduction back to three sitcom hours).

If another CBS sitcom is to be canceled, it'll either be Mom, a freshman, and the lowest rated of the current CBS sitcoms, or Two and a Half Men, a very expensive, and now just average rated show.

The bear's still got both predicted as "likely to be renewed". The bear's not sure he's going to get much more information before late April that will move that prediction before his final thumbs up or thumbs down. It should be noted that TAAHM is exactly the kind of show that exists in one the bear's blind spots, an old expensive show with just passable ratings. It's not unknown for such shows to be canceled while the bear is predicting renewal.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2014.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.
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Notes:

:oops: certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
:cry: :cry: more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
:| :| :| toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
:) :) :) :) more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: certain to be renewed by May, 2014

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The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Predictions Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • Gary

    I’m almost sure the Crazy Ones survives. CBS is not going to axe Robin Williams or Sarah Michelle Geller after only 1 year. My vote would go to Two and a Half Men. It’s been on a while and getting old in the tooth. Its time!!

  • Valentin

    @Tommy M., yeah I know it’s just that everyone are basing their predictions on the salaries of the lead actors.

  • Tommy M.

    @ Gary

    “I’m almost sure the Crazy Ones survives. CBS is not going to axe Robin Williams or Sarah Michelle Geller after only 1 year.”

    The CBS co-owned CW did just that to Sarah Michelle Geller with Ringer. Just sayin… ;-)

  • Valentin

    @Tommy M @Gary : Well they did but Ringer was a flop at the end of season 1, declined really fast and never did decent at the end. + SMG was pregnant so no reason to give it another chance.

  • Tommy M.

    @ Velentin
    “Well they did but Ringer was a flop at the end of season 1, declined really fast and never did decent at the end. + SMG was pregnant so no reason to give it another chance.”

    That’s besides the point. They won’t base their decision on who’s in the cast.

  • iSayso

    2.5Men + Mom > 2BG

  • mark

    CBS won’t cancel The Crazy Ones unless its ratings crater from here. The Crazy Ones has too much potential and its ratings, though mediocre, are solid.

    Common sense says they cancel 2.5 Men simply because it’s worn out and the salaries are gargantuan, but who knows. I think Mom is the big question mark. Looking at the episodes so far, does the show seem to have legs for another few seasons? I’m not sure. It feels like it’s missing something to me. The Crazy Ones, on the other hand, could end up a hit in the right timeslot.

  • KJ Styles

    @Bill Gorman- I hope you’re right, because I love The Crazy Ones and want it to be renewed. I think Mom is a terrible show, and Two & A Half Men has sucked ever since they got rid of Charlie Sheen so both of them can go as far as I’m concerned.

    If Friends With Better Lives is renewed, then at least two of them will get the axe. I hope it’s Mom and 2.5 Men. It’s already been confirmed that one of the new sitcoms next year will be the HIMYM spinoff, and I get the feeling that they’ll have at least one other new one.

  • iSayso

    If it must be a another sitcom then it should be H5-0.

  • Valentin

    @Tommy M. I still think that if SMG haven’t been pregnant, CW would have given Ringer another chance but they didn’t (and I’m glad somehow bc now SMG is happier on The Crazy Ones) :)

  • Tommy M.

    @ KJ Styles
    ” It’s already been confirmed that one of the new sitcoms next year will be the HIMYM spinoff”

    CBS has only ordered a pilot for the spinoff. While I think the odds are good it gets a series order, it’s far from confirmed.

  • Morris

    It’s funny that everyone is saying that CBS will cancel TCO because it is a single camera comedy. Did you realize that CBS just ordered three more single camera comedy pilots for next season!? They’re obviously looking for something to pair with TCO.

    People also need to keep in mind, that TCO is in a much tougher spot opening the 9 pm hour, than MOM airing behind something at 9.30pm

    At the end I think Mom, TCO and The Millers will be renewed. I don’t think that the Friends… show will survive. CBS won’t reduce it’s second comedy block. They worked for years to do this. So for the “No. 1 network” it would be a failure to scratch it.

  • Alvar

    The only reason I can see CBS renewing The Crazy Ones over Mom is for the sake of keeping a single camera comedy in their schedule. As for Two and a Half Men, I can’t see that CBS would just cancel a long running successful comedy without a formal final season.

  • THE OLD MAN

    @ Tommy M

    Good posts! I hope they “sink in.”

  • jake3988

    Jeff (Canada)
    Posted January 28, 2014 at 8:18 AM
    One would think that CBS would be respectful enough to announce 2.5 Men as having a “final season” and not just outright canceling it. If they don’t cancel it this season, I can see them announcing next season as the last, at the Upfronts in May.
    ====================================================

    It’s a mediocre show (ratings-wise) and not at all like, for instance, Cheers or Seinfeld or Friends. Just like in those cases, the stars are eager to end it, but it’s dying a whimpering death not a bang.

    They’re going to negotiate and if the numbers can work out (it is still a giant cash cow in syndication, for instance) then it’ll be renewed. If they can’t work out a deal, it’ll just die a quiet death.

  • MARTY

    jake3988 cbs gets no money for syndication. the reports say cbs is now losing money on 2 and a half men. its gone

  • Mike

    Correct me if im wrong but the casts of two and a half men’s salaries would have no effect at all on cbs’s decision to renew it or cancel the show. Because the show is owned by Warner Bro’s that means WB Produces the show which covers the cost of the casts and filming and everything..

    CBS is simply paying a fee (which i have no clue how much it is), their paying a fee to air the show and that fee can be lowered if WB choses to lower it to keep it on the air for a final season to boost syndication money..

  • Mike

    Also what are the chances that Wb would lower the cost for CBS to air a final season of the mentalist.. I believe that currently from TNT that WB gets paid upwards 2.5 million an episode for The mentalist, so id imagine that theyd want a final season for the show even if just for 13 episodes

  • Tommy M.

    @ Mike
    “Correct me if im wrong but the casts of two and a half men’s salaries would have no effect at all on cbs’s decision to renew it or cancel the show. Because the show is owned by Warner Bro’s that means WB Produces the show which covers the cost of the casts and filming and everything”

    Don’t get me wrong I’m sure that their salaries do play a small part in the decision to renew or cancel the show. It’s just not a direct cause and effect thing. The production companies factor all the cost of production into the licensing fee. Things like syndication can sway the production company to lower that fee. In the case of a syndication cash cow, like 2.5 Men, that can have a huge impact.

    “Also what are the chances that Wb would lower the cost for CBS to air a final season of the mentalist.. I believe that currently from TNT that WB gets paid upwards 2.5 million an episode for The mentalist, so id imagine that theyd want a final season for the show even if just for 13 episodes”

    Again this really depends on how much CBS is willing to pay for the show, and how much WB is willing to take for it. These kind of economics are hard to predict because the information isn’t available. I will say that The Mentalist has an uphill battle on it’s hands given that it’s ratings aren’t just mediocre, they are plain bad. 2.5 Men isn’t in the same situation. It’s ratings aren’t what they use to be, but they aren’t horrible either.

  • Mike

    @Tommy M.

    Thanks

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