FOX Predictions: 'Almost Human' Is Likely To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

February 4th, 2014

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:


climate-change

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from December 30, 2013 -February 2, 2014):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Raising Hope (F) :oops: 0.43
Enlisted (F) :oops: 0.46
The Mindy Project :| :| :| 0.77
Dads de facto canceled 0.84
Rake :oops: 0.89
Brooklyn Nine-Nine :) :) :) :) 0.95
Bones (F) renewed 0.95
New Girl :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.01
Almost Human :cry: :cry: 1.13
The Following :) :) :) :) 1.18
American Dad final season on Fox 1.24
Bob's Burgers renewed 1.26
Sleepy Hollow renewed 1.36
Family Guy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.54
The Simpsons renewed 1.68
Glee renewed

-
The Cancellation Bear moved his prediction for Almost Human down to "likely to be canceled". Its 2014 ratings haven't been bad, but the lack of additional episodes ordered, and Bones moving back to Monday at 8pm sends the signal that Almost Human is done. Those claiming it was always intended to be a 13 episode "limited series" like Sleepy Hollow are engaging in delusional revisionist history.

Rake's premiere rating put it right in the middle of Fox's "toss up" range. Its second episode dropped it well within the "certain to be canceled" range. Since it was in the headline last week, the bear thought he'd wait at least a week before putting Rake back in. Can't get stuck in a rut!

The bear is now leaning towards moving The Mindy Project to likely to be canceled, but he's got time to see how Brooklyn 9-9 does after New Girl tonight. There are plenty more weeks of Fox headlines to write and fit Mindy in.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2014. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2014, the "old" Fall predictions will stay in the table.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
-
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.
-
Notes:

:oops: certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
:cry: :cry: more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
:| :| :| toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
:) :) :) :) more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: certain to be renewed by May, 2014

-
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Predictions Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • OnECenTX

    To be clear, I’m disgusted how Fox is handling Raising Hope this year, Why would I be disgusted what they did 2-3 years ago??? That makes no sense at all.

    And plummeted? Season 3 was the first season it didn’t have a lead in and it still managed a 1.5-1.8 demo rating, then they moved it to Friday without any mention or marketing and of course the ratings suffered. They couldn’t at least mention Raising Hope on Fridays during their Tuesday comedy block!?

  • haxona

    Yeah I suppose I hope I am right too…

  • Ultima

    Raising Hope is a low rated show that is being burned off for syndication. Why would FOX waste money marketing it or spend more than a minimal amount of time promoting it?
    FOX treated the show extremely well in the past and it simply didn’t deliver; it’s ridiculous to expect FOX to continue treating it like a show that has a future.
    And yes, the ratings plummeted during its third season; it was down 27% from the previous season (and that’s despite not airing during the spring).

  • iampaddii

    Could it get any worse for Fox this year? There is not one single freshmen that really stood out (rating wise). Also I have no clue where they are trying to get with BNN. The CW seems like to be the only channel that a bit of luck this year…

  • Katie

    Saw it the other day i’ll look and see if I can find the link for you.

  • We Can’t Stop

    Brooklyn Nine-Nine is great and needs a second season for sure. I’m hoping its ratings will increase to a 2.0 tonight, since it rose significantly last week and had the Super Bowl exposure.

  • https://twitter.com/#!/TV_In_The_Shade James “One” Shade

    I just don’t get why Fox is mistreating Almost Human like this. It has reasonable ratings.

  • OnECenTX

    It’s a low rated show because they moved it to Friday. And it “didn’t delivered” in the past? It was pulling in a 2.0+ rating the first two seasons, how’s that not delivering??? They moved RH to Friday for Dads and Brooklyn 9-9, which are basically doing the same numbers RH did last season. I’m fine with B99 but to move RH for Dads?! You got to be kidding me. Dads should of been on after Family Guy because those people are the only people who would care to watch that show.

    And going from 2.0 to 1.5/1.8 rating isn’t plummeting when it’s hard for any show to maintain a 1.5+ rating nowadays.

  • Nony

    Production didn’t entirely shut down in December. They were still filming scenes in January, per some of the MX actors on Twitter, and Michael Ealy was spotted in Vancouver.

  • Nony

    I don’t know. I have the feeling it’s not quite dead yet, and its stars will align for a possible 13-episode season 2. And nobody was saying S1 was *always* intended to have 13 episodes – it wasn’t. But it was confirmed in December. Not exactly ‘delusional and revisionist’ to say that people have known about it for a while and Fox didn’t just suddenly spring that on us.

  • http://facebook.com/jason.hollowed Jason H

    ‘Everything’? Pretty sure the only other Bad Robot-produced shows on FOX were Alcatraz and Fringe. Did I miss something? Alcatraz was 13 & done, sure. And yes, Fringe got cancelled or insert semantic preference here), but it took 5 seasons and 100 episodes to get there.

    Also, no guarantee that AH would get the same numbers on NBC.

    So… what’s your point?

  • Ultima

    It was a low rated show before they moved it to Friday.
    Season 1 (after Glee) – avg 2.5, high 3.1, low 1.8
    Season 2 (after New Girl) – avg 2.3, high 3.1, low 1.8
    Season 2/3 (at 8/8:30pm) – avg 1.6, high 2.1, low 1.4

    It was moved because the ratings were bad and FOX was just going to burn it off for syndication. It is irrelevant what replaced it or how that show peformed.

  • Ike1

    I am not “assuming the opposite.” See my original post above where I said “…speculating like the rest of us” and “…in the end, I don’t know either.” I am arguing for ambiguity. The only clear data we have here is the 1.13 in the index.

  • 69RoadRunner

    Was Terminator SCC from Bad Robot?

  • Tommy M.

    I’m not as optimistic about The Following as the index is. With only having 15 episodes a season it’s not like syndication is going to factor in any time soon. I’m not even confident that it’s found it’s ratings floor yet.

  • Tommy M.

    I’d say the biggest clue to Almost Human’s fate is that Bones is moving back to it’s timeslot. After FOX spent resources promoting it’s move to Fridays just to move it back after a half of a dozen episodes have aired there says FOX would rather cut that loss as opposed to ordering more episodes of Almost Human. Almost Human did start a little later than most new shows, but it wasn’t too late to get a back 9 if FOX was interested. Their scheduling changes are more about damage control and hoping Bones gives The Following a better lead-in.

  • Jon Long

    Almost human took a future sci fi setting and basically became a regular somebody gets murdered at the beginning and we solve the case show. We have enough of those dog cop shows.

  • http://facebook.com/jason.hollowed Jason H

    No. The rights were held at the time by C2 and The Halcyon Company, and FOX and WB were production partners (WB also serving as distributor).

    Current Terminator production rights are now shared by Skydance, which co-produced both Bad Robot ‘Star Trek’ movies, and Paramount is providing funding and likely distribution for the upcoming Terminator productions.

  • Erik William

    Most networks have been known to get bumps for the entire week following the Superbowl, although based on last night’s ratings…that’s not true for Fox this year.

  • Erik William

    Most networks (historically) do see slight increases in all shows all week long following the Superbowl based on the ratings from last night, that doesn’t seem to be the case this year.

© 2014 Tribune Digital Ventures