NBC Predictions: 'Chicago PD' Is Certain To Be Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

February 4th, 2014

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from December 30, 2013 - February 2, 2014):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Welcome To The Family* canceled 0.52
The Michael J. Fox Show :oops: (canceled 2/5) 0.56
Ironside* canceled 0.61
Sean Saves The World* canceled 0.61
Dracula* (F) :cry: :cry: 0.66
Community :| :| :| 0.87
Parenthood :| :| :| 0.93
Parks & Recreation :) :) :) :) 0.95
Revolution :| :| :| 1.02
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.05
Chicago PD :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.24
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.33
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.36
The Blacklist renewed 1.77

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In its first four episodes, Chicago PD has averaged 124% of NBC's 2014 scripted show ratings average. That's plenty to assure it of certain renewal by NBC. Our site's trolls to the contrary.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2014.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.
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Notes:

:oops: certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
:cry: :cry: more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
:| :| :| toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
:) :) :) :) more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: certain to be renewed by May, 2014

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The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Predictions Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
  • Dante

    LOL @ the headline.
    Yeah, Chicago PUHd is certain to be renewed. Until of course, it begins airing post-Olympics and starts to garner those low 1′s.

    Chicago MISfire meanwhile, set to air out of two new comedies destined to fail because this is NBC, will also start to drop in the demo.

    I think the bear, and the renew/cancel index on here for both shows are in for quite a surprise this spring. I’m very much looking forward to it.

  • Guest

    how exactly will NBC air Chicago PD against the Winter Olympics when the Olympics are on NBC?

  • CrimTV

    just realised it said “post olympics” my bad

  • Dante

    You don’t read correctly. I said when the shows air post-Olympics, meaning after the Olympics.

  • Nick Jagielski

    Revolution’s ratings are above the average which should be comfortable renewal, but it’s behind 5 dramas plus Parenthood in a tougher spot than Revolution (I think last year NBC renewed 6 dramas which means no spot for Revolution along this logic). Anybody know if, historically, shows in situations like this get cancelled or renewed? I’m rooting for season 3.

  • Mdc10

    My NBC 2014/2015 sked:

    MONDAYS
    8- The Voice / Hollywood Game Night / The Voice (premieres on day after the Superbowl obviously)
    10- NEW DRAMA

    TUESDAYS
    8- The Voice/ Reality filler / The Voice
    9- NEW COSBY COMEDY/ Reality filler/ NEW COSBY COMEDY
    9:30- About a Boy*/ Reality filler/ About a Boy*
    10- Chicago Fire

    *depending on how it does this season obviously

    WEDNESDAYS
    8- MAYA RUDOLPH VARIETY SHOW
    8:30- NEW COMEDY
    9- Law and Order SVU
    10- Chicago PD

    THURSDAYS
    8- The Biggest Loser (Sept->Jan)/ Space Race (premiere in the post-Superbowl slot)
    9- The Blacklist
    10- NEW DRAMA

    FRIDAYS
    8- Parks and Recreation*
    8:30- Community*
    9- Grimm
    10- NEW DRAMA (13 episodes)/NEW DRAMA (midseason)**

    *13-episode final season start in mid-to-late October, can be moved to Wednesdays if the new shows fail there

    **or Hannibal, depending on how it does this spring

    SUNDAYS (post-Football)
    8- Parenthood (10 episodes, final season)
    9- AD (12 episodes)
    10- NEW DRAMA (13 episodes)

    if Growing Up Fisher, Crisis or Believe are successful, obviously they would be back in some way

    THE VOICE would air on Wednesday and Thursday at 8 during premiere week, to help launch The Blacklist in its new timeslot.

  • Anthony

    In reality though, Revolutions ratings are not above average. They are actually below average for an NBC drama. They only appear to be above average in this index due to the incredibly low rated comedies that throw off the average.

  • Edward

    I keep hearing positive word of mouth about Chicago PD. I think there’s a chance for the show to grow in the Spring.

  • sixseasonsandamovie

    Tough decisions here.

    With Chicago PD renewed, NBC probably won’t renew both Parenthood and Revolution.

    Keeping Revolution means two more seasons and they’ll likely move it to fridays, meanwhile, Parenthood is an expensive show and it already reached syndication (90 episodes by the end of the season) and a likley final and short (13 eps) season, short seasons are not a problem, the show had only 2 full seasons, the costs are.

    Community is another hard call, I’m betting on a 13 episode final season, mixing my rational side along with my fan side, but I think if NBC is going to use a veteran comedy as a replacement, it’ll be Parks (I think it’ll recieve the “30 Rock” treatment).

  • DM

    I almost think that if Community’s ratings stay decent for the rest of the season, it might get renewed for a short final season just so they can still play out the “six seasons and a movie” deal. The movie being a 90 minute series finale episode.

  • sixseasonsandamovie

    Considering that one of theses dramas was Hannibal, if NBC renews 5 dramas this year, Revolution is out, the ones chosen will be The Blacklist, Chicago Fire and PD, SVU and Grimm.

    And it won’t matter if Revolution starts beating Grimm since it’s a friday show and protected by syndication.

  • Eren

    My wish program for NBC 2014-2015
    Sunday: (After Football season)
    08:00 Community (6th and final season – 13 episodes)
    08:30 Bad Judge (1st season – 13 episodes)
    09:00 The Money Pit (1st season – 13 episodes)
    09:30 Mr. Robinson (1st season – 6 episodes)
    10:00 Parenthood (6th and final season – 10 episodes)

    Monday:
    08:00 The Voice (7th season – 16 episodes) / The Sing-Off (5th season – 8 episodes)
    10:00 Constantine (1st season – 13 episodes)

    Tuesday:
    08:00 The Voice (7th season – 16 episodes) / Hollywood Game Night (3rd season – 8 episodes)
    09:00 About a Boy (2nd season – 13 episodes)
    09:30 Untitled Tina Fey-Ellie Kemper comedy (1st season – 13 episodes)
    10:00 The Blacklist (2nd season – 22 episodes)

    Wednesday:
    08:00 Law & Order: Special Victims Unit (16th season – 22 episodes)
    09:00 Coersion (1st season – 13 episodes)
    10:00 Chicago Fire (3rd season – 22 episodes)

    Thursday:
    08:00 The Biggest Loser (16th season – 13 episodes) / The Apprentice (14th season – 13 episodes)
    10:00 Tin Man (1st season – 13 episodes)

    Friday:
    08:00 Mason Twins (1st season – 13 episodes)
    08:30 Undateable (2nd season – 13 episodes)
    09:00 Grimm (4th season – 22 episodes)
    10:00 Mysteries of Laura (1st season – 13 episodes)

    Midseason:
    The Voice (8th season – 16 episodes)
    Hannibal (3rd season – 13 episodes)
    Revolution (3rd season – 13 episodes)
    Parks and Recreation (7th and final season – 13 episodes)
    Working the Engels (1st season – 12 episodes)
    Welcome To Sweden (1st season – 13 episodes)
    A to Z (1st season – 13 episodes)

  • Mdc10

    Almost yeah, probably because those are the right scheduling moves!

  • atownandrew

    I’m glad Parks and Rec looks safe, thanks to all the other flops on NBC. Hopefully Parenthood can make it out alive also.

  • Holly

    In its first four episodes, Chicago PD has averaged 124% of NBC’s 2014 scripted show ratings average

    That says more about NBC than it does about Chicago PD… They’ve had a good year with football, The Voice, and the Olympics, but even with Blacklist’s success, they are definitely still struggling with their scripted content.

  • Joe Dennis

    This makes me happy. I just love Chicago cop shows. Remember The Chicago Code on Fox? Cancelled despite decent ratings to make room for Alcatraz and Terra Nova. Bet they wish they could have that one back.

  • Verus

    Usually the network that aired the olympics gets a slight boost to numbers after the event and not the other way around.

    Not sure why you harp on about Chicago PD ? The show will obviously be renewed.

  • Ultima

    Both Terra Nova and Alcatraz had better ratings than The Chicago Code.

  • GreatTVDude

    I agree. Chicago PD did about as good as NBC could have hoped. If they really wanted it to pull bigger numbers, they would have put it behind The Voice. When they tossed it behind SVU, they were likely hoping for good retention, which it has delivered. Considering this is where Ironside was previously, NBC must be thrilled.

  • JoeBethersonton

    “Chicago PD is certain to be renewed!”

    *Dante has an aneurysm trying to explain how this is bad news for Chicago PD*

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