Bubble Watch: ‘Hannibal’ Debuts On The Bubble + Updates for ‘Almost Human,’ ‘Mind Games,’ ‘Brooklyn Nine-Nine’ & More
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Now that The Olympics are over and everyone is transitioning back to normal scheduling, how are those returning and new shows doing? And what should the networks be asking themselves after seeing these results?
Star-Crossed lost a tenth in its second week, dropping to a 0.3, a number Hart of Dixie hit only once this season – and that was opposite The Olympics. Interestingly, The CW put out a press release the next day stating Star-Crossed’s finale date was still on a Monday – the rare occurrence of a network trying to generate positive PR for a show by pointing out when it won’t be on the air. While Star-Crossed being pulled (or moved to Friday to run out the order) is still on the table, it wouldn’t surprise me if The CW leaves it in that timeslot for 3 or 4 more airings, to get comparison data for how The Tomorrow People does with it as a lead-in (and to see how Hart of Dixie itself does on Fridays).
The Blacklist, again bolstered by The Voice, returned to the numbers it saw back in Fall. The bigger question is what NBC does with the show next season. Thursday in particular is a smoldering crater for NBC – The Blacklist was just three tenths behind their combined Thursday lineup this week. A move to Thursdays at 9pm would boost the networks’ overall average – though the reduction in comedy hours wouldn’t be healthy for this year’s bubble comedies.
Neither Almost Human nor The Following improved without The Olympics, dropping to or tying their lows – and they were the #1 scripted shows on Fox this week! If Fox has to renew just one show, I’m still sticking with the show with the bigger star, higher episode count, and more promotion, but frankly, Fox renewing – or canceling – both wouldn’t surprise me.
Glee, in its first Tuesday airing this year, continued the dire Adults 18-49 ratings it had been getting on Thursdays. To put the ratings in perspective, if Glee had aired on NBC, it would have been their sixth ranked drama for the week. (Sixth –for NBC!) The larger question is just where Fox will schedule Glee for its final season. While the demise of The X-Factor has created some room on Fox’s Fall schedule, sustained ~1.0 ratings could leave it to run out the clock on Fridays. And a Friday that’s already potentially packed with Bones, Glee, MasterChef Junior, etc. doesn’t leave much room for the Almost Humans of the network.
New Girl wasn’t helped by Glee, as it barely improved from its opposite-The Olympics airing. Then again, a special airing of The Bachelor as competition didn’t help matters either. (More on New Girl and other veterans’ declines next week.) The larger question is, if the best Fox comedy is this far behind even the borderline Fox dramas, just how many comedy hours will Fox schedule next season? And what does that mean for the Brooklyn Nine-Nines of the network? Speaking of which…
Brooklyn Nine-Nine‘s numbers at 9:30 continue to remain below both what they were at 8:30 and what The Mindy Project averaged in the timeslot. While the competition will get weaker, the results are simply not encouraging so far.
About a Boy and Growing Up Fisher were replaced by reruns of their premieres at the last moment. I’m not sure why NBC assumed those shows’ audience would watch special airings after the Olympics – or why it took until the day of their regular timeslot premieres to realize it. While the numbers after the Olympics and The Voice were unsurprisingly well above the NBC comedy average, we’ll have to see how they settle.
Mind Games premiered exactly between what the other two DOA shows in the timeslot this season premiered to. Needless to say, that won’t cut it. We’ll see if Mind Games holds up well enough to run out the order, of if ABC tries out a fourth new show in the timeslot this season. The larger question here is, if nothing is succeeding in the timeslot, when does it become more profitable to just skip the promotional spending and drag Nashville along in the timeslot for two seasons for the syndication money?
Mixology’s premiere merely tied The Middle this week, even with the Modern Family lead-in. Again, that isn’t going to cut it. The larger question here is if The Goldbergs gets a tryout in the post-Modern Family timeslot before the end of the season.
Rake didn’t recover without the Olympics, dropping below a 1. Frankly, I’m surprised we didn’t get the press release of its pulling on Friday. The larger question is how Fox fills the hole – an expanded American Idol, Kitchen Nightmares, or both (say, 2 hour Idols until Surviving Jack launches and then Kitchen Nightmares).
Two and a Half Men jumped up about half a demo point at 9pm, compared to how it was doing at 9:30. The larger question is just how much CBS is willing (or will be forced to) pay per episode for a comedy anchor on a schedule where anchors are in short supply.
The Crazy Ones was flat compared to its last non-Olympics airing, despite the timeslot move. On the other hand, not dropping despite the lesser lead-in really means it wasn’t getting anything out of that previous lead-in. (If you view it as a head-to-head matchup, despite The Crazy Ones and Mom‘s equal ratings, Mom was against over 2 demo points more broadcast competition.)
While others have mentioned it, let me reiterate: Whose Line Is It Anyway, even in repeats, is putting out ratings equal or superior to the CW’s first run scripted shows on Fridays. The larger question here is if any CW drama that isn’t running out the syndication clock will be scheduled for Fridays again while WLIIA and ANTM remain viable.
Hannibal returned in-line with how it had been doing at the end of the regular season, on a Friday, no less. While everything I’ve heard of its finances suggests that it will return to some US network (possibly even an NBC owned one – SyFy could use some prestige shows), I frankly have no information to say whether that network will be NBC. So I’m leaving it “On the Bubble” until the ratings miraculously stay stable or totally collapse.
Tom Shaw is a computer programmer from Milwaukee, WI. Bereft of Lost theories to argue about, he’s spent too much time attempting to figure out the TV industry.
Save yourself from hibernating bears! Direct your criticisms to @tvtomshaw instead!
Note: only scripted shows that have aired at least one episode this season are in the table below.
|Back In The Game||ABC||Canceled|
|How I Met Your Mother||CBS||Final Season|
|We Are Men||CBS||Canceled|
|Nikita||CW||Final Season Finished|
|American Dad||Fox||Moving to TBS|
|The Michael J. Fox Show||NBC||Canceled|
|Sean Saves The World||NBC||Canceled|
|Welcome To The Family||NBC||Canceled|
|Killer Women||ABC||Cancellation Predicted|
|Mind Games||ABC||Cancellation Predicted|
|The Neighbors||ABC||Cancellation Predicted|
|Once Upon a Time in Wonderland||ABC||Cancellation Predicted|
|Super Fun Night||ABC||Cancellation Predicted|
|Trophy Wife||ABC||Cancellation Predicted|
|The Crazy Ones||CBS||Cancellation Predicted|
|The Good Wife||CBS||Cancellation Predicted|
|The Mentalist||CBS||Cancellation Predicted|
|Beauty & The Beast||CW||Cancellation Predicted|
|The Carrie Diaries||CW||Cancellation Predicted|
|The Tomorrow People||CW||Cancellation Predicted|
|Almost Human||Fox||Cancellation Predicted|
|The Mindy Project||Fox||Cancellation Predicted|
|Raising Hope||Fox||Cancellation Predicted|
|Mom||CBS||On The Bubble|
|Two and a Half Men||CBS||On The Bubble|
|Brooklyn Nine-Nine||Fox||On The Bubble|
|About a Boy||NBC||On The Bubble|
|Growing Up Fisher||NBC||On The Bubble|
|Hannibal||NBC||On The Bubble|
|Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.||ABC||Renewal Predicted|
|The Goldbergs||ABC||Renewal Predicted|
|Grey’s Anatomy||ABC||Renewal Predicted|
|Last Man Standing||ABC||Renewal Predicted|
|The Middle||ABC||Renewal Predicted|
|Modern Family||ABC||Renewal Predicted|
|Once Upon a Time||ABC||Renewal Predicted|
|The Big Bang Theory||CBS||Renewal Predicted|
|Blue Bloods||CBS||Renewal Predicted|
|Criminal Minds||CBS||Renewal Predicted|
|Hawaii Five-0||CBS||Renewal Predicted|
|Mike & Molly||CBS||Renewal Predicted|
|The Millers||CBS||Renewal Predicted|
|NCIS: LA||CBS||Renewal Predicted|
|Person of Interest||CBS||Renewal Predicted|
|2 Broke Girls||CBS||Renewal Predicted|
|Hart of Dixie||CW||Renewal Predicted|
|Family Guy||Fox||Renewal Predicted|
|The Following||Fox||Renewal Predicted|
|New Girl||Fox||Renewal Predicted|
|Chicago Fire||NBC||Renewal Predicted|
|Chicago PD||NBC||Renewal Predicted|
|Law & Order: SVU||NBC||Renewal Predicted|
|Parks & Recreation||NBC||Renewal Predicted|
|The Vampire Diaries||CW||Renewed|