CBS Predictions: When ‘The Mentalist’ Is Canceled, Which Show Will Move To Sunday? (Poll)
Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewCBSShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from December 30, 2013 – March 30, 2014):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|Blue Bloods (F)||renewed||0.65|
|The Good Wife||renewed||0.67|
|Hawaii Five-0 (F)||renewed||0.67|
|We Are Men*||canceled||0.74|
|Person Of Interest||renewed||0.85|
|The Crazy Ones||😥😥||0.85|
|Mike & Molly||renewed||0.97|
|Two And A Half Men||renewed||1.02|
|NCIS: Los Angeles||renewed||1.06|
|2 Broke Girls||renewed||1.17|
|How I Met Your Mother||final season||1.47|
|The Big Bang Theory||renewed||2.33|
Last season the cancellation bear asked “Which show would be moved to Friday?” after the cancellation of Vegas. It ended up being Hawaii Five-0, which many commenters predicted (Sadly, the bear didn’t use a poll, and those comments are now hidden since we began using Disqus for commenting.)
With cancellation pending for The Mentalist, the bear won’t make the “no poll” mistake again.
Which CBS show do you think will take The Mentalist’s place on Sunday night? Whether it takes the 10pm slot or The Good Wife gets moved to 10pm and the new Sunday show airs at 9pm.
The odds players will certainly choose a veteran drama. The daredevils may guess that it will be a new drama. For the truly crazy, the bear has added the two sitcoms choice. And finally, for the absolutely delusional, you can guess that The Mentalist won’t be canceled at all!
The desperate/delusional fans grasping for hope should note that after its March renewal announcements for the past two seasons, the only shows that CBS has renewed have been Criminal Minds, Two And A Half Men (highly rated, lengthy contract wrangling), Rules Of Engagement (average rated, renewed after lengthy license fee(?) wrangling in 2012, canceled in 2013), Unforgettable (low rated rookie, canceled, then freak summer renewal).
For the impatient, this includes shows that aired through Sunday. Friends With Better Lives will appear next week.
For those keeping score at home, the bear’s looking good to bat 1.000 on his CBS predictions this season.
From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2014.
Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. If you want to interact with the bear, Twitter, not these post’s comments, is now the best place to do that. It’s more fun for the bear and reaches far more people. While this post will likely be viewed over 40,000 times, the comments audience is a tiny fraction of that (a few hundred comments is typical). 24,000 follow the bear on Twitter.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
|😳||certain to be cancelled by May, 2014|
|😥😥||more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014|
|😐😐😐||toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014|
|more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014|
|certain to be renewed by May, 2014|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How have the Renew / Cancel Index Predictions Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.