ABC Predictions: 'Nashville' Is Likely To Be Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

April 22nd, 2014

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


flying bear

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from December 30, 2013 - April 20, 2014):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Lucky 7* canceled 0.44
Mind Games* canceled 0.47
Killer Women* canceled 0.47
The Assets* canceled 0.48
Betrayal* :oops: 0.49
Once Upon A Time In Wonderland canceled 0.52
Trophy Wife :oops: 0.55
The Neighbors (F) :oops: 0.56
Last Man Standing (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.79
Nashville :) :) :) :) 0.82
Mixology :cry: :cry: 0.86
Back In The Game* canceled 0.90
Revenge :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.90
The Goldbergs :) :) :) :) 0.93
Super Fun Night* :oops: 0.94
Suburgatory :) :) :) :) 0.95
Castle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.06
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.18
Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.21
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.27
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.54
Resurrection :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.58
Scandal* :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.78
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.98

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There's only two more weeks before the Cancellation Bear posts his final % renewal guesses for the 2013-14 season, and he always likes to get his predictions into headlines to feed the sleepless, soulless search engines. Since the bear has decided he will be giving Nashville a slightly positive chance for renewal in his final guess, he might as well put it into the headline today. At 82% of the ABC scripted show ratings average since Jan 1, Nashville is on the ragged edge of the range that would signal renewal for a sophomore show. Close enough to tip the bears prediction positively.

Now the bear just has to figure out the ABC headline for next week.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2014.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. If you want to interact with the bear, Twitter, not these post's comments, is now the best place to do that. It's more fun for the bear and reaches far more people. While this post will likely be viewed over 40,000 times, the comments audience is a tiny fraction of that (a few hundred comments is typical).  24,000 follow the bear on Twitter.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

:oops: certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
:cry: :cry: more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
:| :| :| toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
:) :) :) :) more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: certain to be renewed by May, 2014

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The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Predictions Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
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