NBC Predictions: 'Community' & 'Hannibal' Are Likely To Be Renewed, 'Dracula' Is Likely To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

April 29th, 2014

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from December 30, 2013 - April 27, 2014):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Welcome To The Family* canceled 0.52
The Michael J. Fox Show* canceled 0.56
Hannibal (F) :) :) :) :) 0.61
Ironside* canceled 0.61
Sean Saves The World* canceled 0.61
Dracula* (F) :cry: :cry: 0.66
Community* :) :) :) :) 0.74
Believe :cry: :cry: 0.78
Crisis :cry: :cry: 0.79
Parks & Recreation* renewed 0.81
Parenthood* :) :) :) :) 0.86
Revolution :cry: :cry: 0.93
Grimm (F) renewed 0.98
Chicago PD renewed 1.17
Growing Up Fisher :) :) :) :) 1.17
Law & Order: SVU :) :) :) :) 1.22
Chicago Fire renewed 1.28
About A Boy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.41
The Blacklist renewed 1.87

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It's clean up day for the Cancellation Bear's NBC "toss up" predictions when he gets off the fence on every possible show in advance of his final % renewal predictions next Tuesday.The bear doesn't feel very strongly about any of today's changed predictions, but decision time is at hand.

The bear figures that Community will be kept for another short season in 2014-15 to take the timeslot of another failed freshman sitcom. Similarly, if Hannibal was renewed last season with its low ratings relative to other NBC shows because of it's cheapness to NBC, the bear figures that it can be renewed again. And while the bear thinks that Dracula might be in a similar situation as Hannibal, he's making the guess that NBC will only renew one of them. The completely unconfirmed report in an Irish newspaper of a second season for Dracula notwithstanding.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2014.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. If you want to interact with the bear, Twitter, not these post's comments, is now the best place to do that. It's more fun for the bear and reaches far more people. While this post will likely be viewed over 40,000 times, the comments audience is a tiny fraction of that (a few hundred comments is typical).  24,000 follow the bear on Twitter.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.
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Notes:

:oops: certain to be cancelled by May, 2014
:cry: :cry: more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014
:| :| :| toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014
:) :) :) :) more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: certain to be renewed by May, 2014

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The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Predictions Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

 
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