ABC Renew/Cancel standings, week 30: ‘The Real O’Neals’ and ‘American Crime’ should be safe

real-oneals-renew-cancel-wk-30

ABC’s renew/cancel standings for week 30 of the 2015-16 season remove a couple of tossups from the index, with both shows moving in a positive direction.

ABC scripted average through April 17: 1.34

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Wicked City (O) Canceled 0.67 0.4
Blood & Oil (O) Canceled 0.96 0.59
Of Kings and Prophets Canceled 0.65 0.46
Galavant (O) 😥 0.64 0.42
Agent Carter (O) 😦😦 0.8 0.54
Nashville (O) 😐😐😐 0.99 0.74
The Family (O) 😦😦 0.84 0.63
Castle (O) 😐😐😐 1.1 0.82
The Muppets (O) 😦😦 1.31 0.89
American Crime (O) 🙂🙂🙂🙂 0.93 0.65
The Catch (O) 😐😐😐 1.08 0.81
The Real O’Neals (O) 🙂🙂🙂🙂 1.26 0.94
Dr. Ken (F) (O) 🙂🙂🙂🙂 1.12 0.84
Last Man Standing (F) 🙂🙂🙂🙂 1.21 0.90
Agents of SHIELD (O) Renewed 1.26 0.94
Fresh Off the Boat Renewed 1.38 1.03
Quantico (O) Renewed 1.29 0.96
Once Upon a Time (O) Renewed 1.41 1.05
Black-ish (O) Renewed 1.84 1.37
The Middle Renewed 1.93 1.44
How to Get Away with Murder (O) Renewed 1.87 1.34
The Goldbergs Renewed 2.06 1.54
Grey’s Anatomy (O) Renewed 2.26 1.69
Scandal (O) Renewed 2.15 1.60
Modern Family Renewed 2.62 1.96

 

To say “The Real O’Neals” has been performing well in the ratings would be an overstatement, and a fairly big one at that. To say it’s been performing well enough? That’s considerably easier to swallow.

The show’s ratings since moving to its Tuesday home have been low — in five weeks, it’s only been above 1.0 once, and then only at a 1.1. But they’ve never fallen below 1.0 either. Considering ABC Studios owns the show, that’s probably good enough to get to a second season, so it moves into safe territory.

So does “American Crime,” where ABC can trade low (but not quite filler-level low) ratings in the winter for awards cachet. It also gets bumped up to a likely renewal.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
😥 sure bet to be canceled by May 2016
😦😦 likely to be canceled by May 2016
😐😐😐 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2016
🙂🙂🙂🙂 likely to be renewed by May 2016
😀😀😀😀😀 sure bet to be renewed by May 2016


The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode live+same-day adults 18-49 average rating by the live+same-day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. Why live+same-day ratings? Because they correlate very closely with the rarely disclosed C3 ratings (viewing of commercials within three days of air), which are the basis for most ad deals.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays tend to be renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

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