Final CW renew/cancel predictions for ‘Containment’
The broadcast networks announce their 2016-17 schedules the week of May 16, which means it’s time for one last round of renew/cancel standings. Just about every show still waiting for news of its fate will hear by the end of this week.
The CW has but one scripted show whose future is unknown: “Containment,” which has only been on the air for three weeks. Given The CW’s renewal-happy state at the moment, however, the Bear thinks it has a pretty good chance.
The CW scripted average through May 8: 0.6
|Show||Renew/Cancel Index||Renewal chances||Status|
Already renewed: “The 100,” “Arrow,” “Crazy Ex-Girlfriend,” “The Flash,” “iZombie,” “Jane the Virgin,” “Legends of Tomorrow,” “The Originals,” “Reign,” “Supernatural,” “The Vampire Diaries”
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode live+same-day adults 18-49 average rating by the live+same-day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. Why live+same-day ratings? Because they correlate very closely with the rarely disclosed C3 ratings (viewing of commercials within three days of air), which are the basis for most ad deals.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.