FOX 2015-16 failure factor: It was a tough year for newbies
FOX had the No. 1 show on broadcast TV without the word “Football” in it — “Empire” — in 2015-16. What it did not have this season was much in the way of successful first-year shows to jumpstart the post-“American Idol” rebuilding process.
Even in a year when the network knew it had a looming schedule hole to fill, the track record for new shows this season was not strong. Here’s the breakdown of the network’s 10 first-year scripted series.
Dramas “Lucifer” and “Rosewood” were decent performers for the network, each drawing slightly above FOX’s scripted series average for the season: “Lucifer” averaged a same-day 1.47 rating in adults 18-49, and “Rosewood” a 1.35 (the network average for scripted shows, not counting “The X-Files,” was 1.26). Neither one was ever really in danger, particularly with the need to fill the “Idol” space in 2016-17.
“Scream Queens” didn’t do as well in the same-day averages (1.06 in 18-49) but made up some ground with delayed viewing (it moved ahead of “Rosewood,” for instance, in Live +3). That, plus the fact that it’s a shorter-run show from Ryan Murphy, who has deep ties to FOX and its sister studio, make its renewal not much a surprise either.
FOX had a particularly rough year with its comedies, with none of its four freshman half- hour series (“Bordertown,” “Cooper Barrett’s Guide to Surviving Life,” “Grandfathered” and “The Grinder”) making it to a second season. Ouch.
Dramas “Minority Report” and “Second Chance” never got much of a foothold. “Minority Report” had its order cut and bowed out quietly in the fall, while “Second Chance” was shipped to Fridays after a few outings. They ended the season as FOX’s two lowest-rated scripted shows.
The network hasn’t made a decision yet on “Houdini & Doyle,” which is averaging a 0.6 same-day rating in adults 18-49.
Currently/best case: 60 percent. Worst case: 70 percent.