I was all set to do a “Which broadcast rookie show will get a full season pickup first?” post late this week, and then Fox beat me to it.

I’m going to focus on just scripted shows in my handicapping, but all the rookie shows that have premiered as of Wednesday are in the poll. If you think  a show not yet premiered can take it, just use our comments below.

In a reverse of my cancellation predictions I’ll predict based on which rookies have the highest Renew/Cancel Indexes (as of Tuesday night’s results), however which network wants some PR sunshine may enter into it as well.

Program Renew/ Cancel Index
Whitney 1.50
2 Broke Girls 1.44
Up All Night 1.38
New Girl (picked up) 1.34
The Secret Circle 1.17
Ringer 1.06
Revenge 1.03
Pan Am 0.97
Terra Nova 0.89
Hart Of Dixie 0.85
Prime Suspect 0.82
Free Agents 0.77
Person Of Interest 0.76
Unforgettable 0.66
The Playboy Club 0.66
Charlie’s Angels 0.65
A Gifted Man (F) 0.34

Whitney and 2 Broke Girls both look likely.

Given that 2 Broke Girls has an airdate advantage on Whitney, that’s my guess.

Update: Damn, I should have gone with Whitney!

What’s your guess?

Update: Some have tweeted that Terra Nova shouldn’t be on the list because Fox has already announced its first season will be only 13 episodes. I’ll leave it in the poll, but feel free not to choose it.

Posted by:TV By The Numbers

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