Masked Scheduler's Ratings Smackdown

Overall network television proved it’s alive and well ... at least for a night. Two shows look like they will make it through to next season.
The big surprise was at 10 p.m., where I grossly miscalculated what would happen I projected "The Good Doctor" at a 1.4 in 18-49s and "The Brave" at a 2.1. I thought the disparity in lead-in (there was) would translate to 10 p.m. (it didn't). I realize that "TGD" might go down since some football is in that number, but not enough to change the fact that there may be something here.
I didn't listen to my own opinion, which I have expressed on this site: We often miscalculate the mood of the country. This was reflected in the military or militaristic shows announced last May. I said that things change rapidly and that by the times these shows get on the air, the mood of the country may have shifted. I believe that it has.
"The Good Doctor" and "Young Sheldon" reflect feel-good TV, as did "This Is Us," last year's breakout show. We see "The Brave" in the news every day, and "Me, Myself & I" just has, as Don Ohlmeyer used to say, too many degrees of difficulty.
Back to the drawing board, everyone.

Broadcast primetime live + same-day ratings for Monday, Sept. 25, 2017

Note: The ABC affiliate in Dallas pre-empted its regular schedule for “Monday Night Football.” Ratings for the network may be subject to greater adjustments than usual.

The numbers for Monday:

Time Show Adults 18-49 rating/share
Viewers (millions)
8 p.m. The Big Bang Theory (CBS) – P 3.9/16 16.97
The Voice (NBC) (8-10 p.m.) – P 2.6/9 10.37
Dancing With the Stars (ABC) (8-10 p.m.) 1.5/5 9.07
So You Think You Can Dance (FOX) (8-10 p.m.) – F 0.6/2 1.94
Supergirl (The CW) – R 0.2/1 0.89
8:30 p.m. Young Sheldon (CBS) – P 3.7/13 16.57
9 p.m. Kevin Can Wait (CBS) – P 2.3/8 10.10
Penn & Teller: Fool Us (The CW) 0.2/1 0.94
9:30 p.m. Me, Myself & I (CBS) – P 1.7/6 7.39
10 p.m. The Good Doctor (ABC) – P 2.4/9 11.82
The Brave (NBC) – P 1.4/5 6.17
Scorpion (CBS) – P 1.0/4 5.73

 

The 2017-18 season officially began Monday with strong ratings from a pair of new series.

“Young Sheldon” put up a big 3.7 rating in adults 18-49 and 16.57 million viewers 0n CBS, retaining nearly all of its lead-in from “The Big Bang Theory” (3.9, 16.97 million). “Big Bang” was up a tenth of a point vs. last year’s premiere.

On ABC, “The Good Doctor” drew a very solid 2.4, pending updates. (TV by the Numbers readers predicted it would do fairly well.) That may come down a bit in the finals due to a “Monday Night Football” pre-emption on the network’s Dallas affiliate but should still be in the 2.0-2.2 range, which would be a massive improvement on last season. (It also gave “Jimmy Kimmel Live” a boost; see late-night ratings below.)

The news was not as good at NBC. “The Voice” (2.6) had its lowest-rated premiere ever, and “The Brave” (1.4) debuted to lower numbers than either “Timeless” (1.8) or “Taken” (1.6) last season.

Circling back to CBS, “Kevin Can Wait” (2.3) had its best outing since week 2 of last season (it was off 0.3 vs. the series premiere), and new comedy “Me, Myself & I” debuted to a decent 1.7. “Scorpion,” however, tied a series low with at 1.0.

The season finale of “So You Think You Can Dance” drew a 0.6 for FOX.

Network averages:

CBS NBC ABC FOX CW
Adults 18-49 rating/share 2.3/8 2.2/8 1.8/7 0.6/2 0.2/1
Total Viewers (millions) 10.41 8.97 9.99 1.94 0.91

 

Late-night metered market ratings (adults 18-49, households):

11:35 p.m.

“Jimmy Kimmel Live”: 0.6/3, 2.3/6

“The Late Show with Stephen Colbert”: 0.5/3, 2.5/7

“The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon”: 0.5/3, 1.8/5

12:35 a.m.

“Nightline”: 0.4/3, 1.4/5

“Late Night with Seth Meyers”: 0.3/3, 1.2/4

“The Late Late Show with James Corden”: 0.2/2, 1.1/4

Definitions:
Rating: Estimated percentage of the universe of TV households (or other specified group) tuned to a program in the average minute. Ratings are expressed as a percent.
Fast Affiliate Ratings: These first national ratings are available at approximately 11 a.m. ET the day after telecast. The figures may include stations that did not air the entire network feed, as well as local news breaks or cutaways for local coverage or other programming. Fast Affiliate ratings are not as useful for live programs and are likely to differ significantly from the final results, because the data reflect normal broadcast feed patterns. 
Share (of Audience): 
The percent of households (or persons) using television who are tuned to a specific program, station or network in a specific area at a specific time. 
Time Shifted Viewing:
 Program ratings for national sources are produced in three streams of data – Live, Live +Same-Day and Live +7 Day. Time-shifted figures account for incremental viewing that takes place with DVRs. Live+SD includes viewing during the same broadcast day as the original telecast, with a cut-off of 3 a.m. local time when meters transmit daily viewing to Nielsen for processing. Live +7 ratings include  viewing that takes place during the 7 days following a telecast.

Source: The Nielsen Company.

Posted by:Rick Porter

Rick Porter has been covering TV since the days when networks sent screeners on VHS, one of which was a teaser for the first season of "American Idol." He's left-handed, makes a very solid grilled cheese and has been editor of TV by the Numbers since October 2015. He lives in Austin.

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