The entertainment media is awash with predictions of Thursday’s 2010 Emmy Awards nominees. Here are mine, sort of.

Since we’re all about the numbers, it seemed to me that considering the overwhelming inertia of the nominations from year to year, that simply predicting exactly the same nominees as last year would likely do better than those of most of the entertainment writers. Even if some of the nominees are no longer eligible!

So without further ado, here are my “no predicting” predictions for Thursday’s 2010 Emmy Award nominations. Come back at 5:30am Pacific (god help us all) to see how well I did.

Update: Predicting without predicting scored 20 of 36 nominations, 55.5%. Curses Glee and Modern Family for not being on last year’s schedule!

Outstanding Drama Series

  • Mad Men
  • Damages
  • Dexter
  • House
  • Lost
  • Big Love
  • Breaking Bad

Outstanding Comedy Series

  • 30 Rock
  • Entourage
  • The Office
  • Family Guy
  • Flight Of The Conchords
  • How I Met Your Mother
  • Weeds

Outstanding Lead Actress In A Drama Series

  • Glenn Close (Damages)
  • Sally Field (Brothers & Sisters)
  • Mariska Hargitay (Law & Order: SVU)
  • Holly Hunter (Saving Grace)
  • Kyra Sedgwick (The Closer)
  • Elisabeth Moss (Mad Men)

Outstanding Lead Actor In A Drama Series

  • Bryan Cranston (Breaking Bad)
  • Michael C. Hall (Dexter)
  • Hugh Laurie (House)
  • Gabriel Byrne (In Treatment)
  • Jon Hamm (Mad Men)
  • Simon Baker (The Mentalist)

Outstanding Lead Actress In A Comedy Series

  • Toni Collette (United States Of Tara)
  • Tina Fey (30 Rock)
  • Christina Applegate (Samantha Who?)
  • Julia Louis-Dreyfus (The New Adventures Of Old Christine)
  • Mary-Louise Parker (Weeds)
  • Sarah Silverman (The Sarah Silverman Program)

Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series

  • Alec Baldwin (30 Rock)
  • Tony Shalhoub (Monk)
  • Steve Carell (The Office)
  • Charlie Sheen (Two And A Half Men)
  • Jemaine Clement (Flight Of The Conchords)
  • Jim Parsons (The Big Bang Theory)
Posted by:TV By The Numbers

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