Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2010-11 season in May, 2011. (includes results from January 3-23, 2011):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|The Whole Truth||cancelled|
|No Ordinary Family||😳||0.66|
|Brothers & Sisters||😐😐😐||0.80|
|Off The Map||😐😐😐||0.83|
|Better With You||😐😐😐||0.87|
After a disrupted premiere week, Off The Map’s second week 2.1 adults 18-49 rating could have been a lot worse. If it can hold there, I think it might provide ABC the replacement it needs in order to cancel Brothers & Sisters, which has done no better following Desperate Housewives this spring. Last fall, my guess was that ABC probably would like to cancel an aging drama with Brothers & Sisters ratings, but without a replacement drama, they might have to renew it again. Body of Proof, premiering in March, is another drama that might give ABC the ratings juice it needs.
V increased a tenth of a ratings point last week, and it has now averaged a 2.0 rating for its three episodes. It is still more likely to be cancelled than renewed at that ratings level.
A new Better With You last week dropped to just a 2.1 adults 18-49 rating after starting the mid-season with a 2.5. It looks more and more like Better With You is going to torture its fans all the way to May. It’s still a positive that ABC’s Paul Lee wants a second night of comedy next season.
Only the craziest fans are tortured by the prospects for either Detroit 1-8-7 and No Ordinary Family. They both are certain to be cancelled.
- :oops: – certain to be cancelled by May, 2011
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2011
- 😐😐 :| – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2011
- 🙂🙂🙂 :) – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2011
- :mrgreen: – certain to be renewed by May, 2011
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? While the methods used have changed slightly from past seasons check out how the Renew / Cancel Index would have predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2009-10 broadcast television season.