Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2010-11 season in May, 2011. (includes results through September 12, 2010):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|Hellcats||😐 😐 😐||0.86|
|Nikita||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.00|
Neither of the new CW shows, Hellcats nor Nikita turned out to be an early season ratings disaster like The Beautiful Life last season, which ended up lasting just two episodes. At this point, neither show’s fans should worry or celebrate, it’s way too early for either. Stay tuned.
The Vampire Diaries was down from its premiere ratings last season, but even at those levels it’s in absolutely no danger of cancellation by the CW.
It’s important to note that the Index (and prediction) for each show can change, particularly during the first several weeks of the season, both positively and negatively.
Note: Just one Renew / Cancel Index post this week, because only the CW premiered new scripted shows last week. Next week I will have posts for both the CW and NBC.
- 😳 – certain to be cancelled by May, 2011
- 😥 :cry:- likely to be cancelled by May, 2011
- 😐 😐 😐 – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2011
- 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 – likely to be renewed by May, 2011
- – certain to be renewed by May, 2011
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? While the methods used have changed slightly from past seasons check out how the Renew / Cancel Index would have predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2009-10 broadcast television season.