Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewABCShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2-15, 2012):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|Body Of Proof||😳||0.55|
|Last Man Standing||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.80|
|Castle||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.82|
|Revenge||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.88|
|Private Practice||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.89|
|Desperate Housewives||final season||1.02|
|Once Upon A Time||1.25|
Body of Proof remains the only ABC show certain to be canceled still on my list
that is currently scheduled to air through the end of the season. With more scripted shows yet to premiere on ABC this spring that could change, but for now, no other shows are in danger. Sadly, with that being the case, you’ll see Body of Proof in the headline a lot going forward, since “Of course Modern Family will be renewed” is a headline no one will respond to.
As predicted, Work It! was canceled. Last week’s timing was the only unknown.
Last Man Standing fans may have been a bit worried about last week’s 2.1 rating, but last night’s bounce back to a 2.6 (not yet in the table average above) should have them breathing easier. Those calling for Castle’s cancellation at the Index level above certainly know its ratings will revive once Dancing With The Stars returns, but troll away if you must.
And for the delusional Pan Am fans who still deny the show’s already been canceled riddle me this, except for the PR nonsense from ABC that the “show is in consideration for a second season”, how is its situation different than NBC’s Prime Suspect? Both are canceled. Pan Am simply has a few more episodes to air than Prime Suspect before it vanishes into the ether.
The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did ABC’s shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule, and are grouped at the top of the table.
- 😳 – certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
- 😐 😐 😐 – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
- 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
- – certain to be renewed by May, 2012
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.