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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from September 12-25, 2011):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|Charlie’s Angels||😐 😐 😐||0.62|
|Body Of Proof||😐 😐 😐||0.65|
|The Middle||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.92|
|Pan Am||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.92|
|Desperate Housewives||final season||0.95|
|Castle||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.95|
|Revenge||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.98|
|Last Man Standing||not premiered|
|Man Up||not premiered|
|Private Practice||not premiered|
|Once Upon A Time||not premiered|
|Cougar Town||not premiered|
One week into the 2011-12 broadcast season and Charlie’s Angels stands out as the ABC scripted show most in need of a prayer for continued life. Body of Proof is in need of a bit of resuscitation itself, but as a veteran it will get a bit of the benefit of the doubt early in the season. All the rest of ABC’s scripted shows got off to a pretty good (or better) start.
However, ABC has quite a number of rookie shows yet to premiere, some that may be quite low rated, not time to hit the panic button just yet.
- 😳 – certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
- 😐 😐 😐 – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
- 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
- – certain to be renewed by May, 2012
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.