Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewABCShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2014-15 season in May, 2015. (includes results from December 29, 2014 – April 26, 2015):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Manhattan Love Story* canceled 0.48
Selfie* canceled 0.53
Cristela* (F) 😳 0.56
Revenge 😳 0.56
Forever 😳 0.58
Resurrection* 😳 0.59
American Crime 😳 0.72
Nashville :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.74
Last Man Standing (F) 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 0.75
Galavant* 😳 0.77
Agent Carter* 😥 😥 0.78
Secrets & Lies 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 0.84
Castle  :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.86
Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.89
Fresh Off The Boat* :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.00
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.06
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.20
black-ish :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.23
The Goldbergs :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.30
Grey’s Anatomy  :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.33
Scandal :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.60
How To Get Away With Murder* renewed 1.64
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.84

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Agent Carter was the most marginal of the cancellaton bear’s ABC “toss ups” this season, having been at “likely canceled” for some weeks. The bear wouldn’t be shocked if it was renewed, but he thinks it will go the other way. He’s moving his final prediction for it to “likely to be canceled”.

There was never any doubt that The Goldbergs would be renewed. That the news leaked early, just shows how much the control over such information by the #PRJedi is slipping.

Next week: Final % renewal guesses from the bear and @TVTomShaw.

Previous weeks:

How is Nashville certain to be renewed with such low ratings? Read this.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him.

If you want to interact with the bear, Twitter, not these post’s comments, is the place to do it. It’s more fun for the bear and reaches far more people. Just click here !function(d,s,id){var js,fjs=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],p=/^http:/.test(d.location)?’http’:’https’;if(!d.getElementById(id)){js=d.createElement(s);js.id=id;js.src=p+’://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js’;fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js,fjs);}}(document, ‘script’, ‘twitter-wjs’);

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

😳 certain to be cancelled by May, 2015
😥 😥 more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2015
😐 😐 😐 toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2015
🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2015
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: certain to be renewed by May, 2015


The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

Posted by:TV By The Numbers

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