Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewABCShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2014-15 season in May, 2015. (includes results from September 15-November 16, 2014):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Manhattan Love Story* canceled 0.48
Selfie* canceled 0.53
Cristela (F) 😐 😐 😐 0.55
Last Man Standing (F) 😐 😐 😐 0.63
Forever 😳 0.63
Revenge 😐 😐 😐 0.64
Nashville :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.70
Resurrection 😥 😥 0.77
Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 0.84
Castle  🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 0.88
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.98
The Goldbergs :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Grey’s Anatomy  :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.27
black-ish :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.34
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.37
How To Get Away With Murder :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.51
Scandal :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.57
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.74

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When the ratings for Resurrection fell below the ratings for Revenge (the 10pm show that follows it) that’s not a positive sign for the show’s race to stay ahead of the cancellation bear. Add into the equation the fact that it was only at 66% of ABC’s scripted average rating last week, and that while it’s a sophomore show its freshman season was only 8 episodes long and the result is that it is now “likely to be canceled”.

If last week’s ratings weren’t a one time upward blip, the bear will soon be moving Last Man Standing’s prediction up a notch.

Previous weeks:

How is Nashville already certain to be renewed? Read this.

While we wait for the return of Bubble Watch, here are some ABC notes from Tom Shaw:

Nothing new from Tom this week.


Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. If you want to interact with the bear, Twitter, not these post’s comments, is the place to do that. It’s more fun for the bear and reaches far more people. While this post will likely be viewed many tens of thousands of times, the commenting audience is a tiny fraction of that (a few hundred comments is typical). Tens of thousands of fans follow the bear on Twitter.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

😳 certain to be cancelled by May, 2015
😥 😥 more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2015
😐 😐 😐 toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2015
🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2015
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: certain to be renewed by May, 2015


The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons? See all the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

Posted by:TV By The Numbers

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