Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewABCShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2014-15 season in May, 2015. (includes results from December 29, 2014 – March 26, 2015):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Manhattan Love Story* canceled 0.48
Selfie* canceled 0.53
Revenge ๐Ÿ˜ฅ ๐Ÿ˜ฅ 0.53
Forever ๐Ÿ˜ณ 0.55
Cristela (F) ๐Ÿ˜ณ 0.56
Resurrection* ๐Ÿ˜ณ 0.59
Galavant* ๐Ÿ˜ณ 0.73
Last Man Standing (F) ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ 0.74
Nashville :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.74
Agent Carter* ๐Ÿ˜ ๐Ÿ˜ ๐Ÿ˜ 0.78
Secrets & Lies ๐Ÿ˜ ๐Ÿ˜ ๐Ÿ˜ 0.80
Castleย  ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ 0.82
American Crime ๐Ÿ˜ฅ ๐Ÿ˜ฅ 0.84
Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ 0.85
Fresh Off The Boat ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ 1.02
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.10
black-ish :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.17
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.18
The Goldbergs :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.28
Grey’s Anatomyย  :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.29
How To Get Away With Murder* :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.56
Scandal :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.67
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.77

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ย –
This is a special vacation version of the cancellation bear’s predictions written on and including ratings and news through only March 26.

With the cancellation bear far, far away from TV news and his computer, he’s giving readers a chance to doubt *any* of his current renewal or cancellation predictions. The poll includes every show not already renewed or canceled, or currently predicted as a “toss up” by the bear. Choose as many shows as you’d like, and feel free to note how very, very wrong the bear is in the comments.



Previous weeks:

How is Nashvilleย certain to be renewed with such lowย ratings? Read this.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him.ย You can follow the Cancellation Bearย on Twitter via @TheCancelBear.ย If you want to interact with the bear, Twitter, not these post’s comments, is the placeย to do that. It’s more fun for the bear and reaches far more people. While this post will likely be viewed many tens of thousands ofย times, the commentingย audience is a tiny fraction of that (a few hundred comments is typical). Tens of thousands of fansย follow the bear on Twitter.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

๐Ÿ˜ณ certain to be cancelled by May, 2015
๐Ÿ˜ฅ ๐Ÿ˜ฅ more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2015
๐Ÿ˜ ๐Ÿ˜ ๐Ÿ˜ toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2015
๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ ๐Ÿ™‚ more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2015
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: certain to be renewed by May, 2015


Theย Renew/Cancel Indexย is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How have the Renew / Cancel Index Worked Out In Past Seasons?ย See all the Renew / Cancel Indexย predicted renewals and cancellations from recent past television seasons.

Posted by:Steve Baron

VP/Digital for TV station ownership group; Dad to young twins, runner, skier & spend a lot of times in airplanes.

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