ABC scripted average through Jan. 10: 1.58
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Wicked City (O)||Canceled||0.67||0.4|
|Blood & Oil (O)||Canceled||0.96||0.59|
|Nashville (O)||😦 😦||1.03||0.65|
|Castle (O)||😦 😦||1.13||0.72|
|American Crime (O)||😐 😐 😐||1.2||0.76|
|The Muppets (O)||😐 😐 😐||1.53||0.97|
|Last Man Standing (F)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.25||0.79|
|Dr. Ken (F) (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.23||0.78|
|Quantico (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.45||0.92|
|Fresh Off the Boat||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.51||0.96|
|Once Upon a Time (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.57||0.99|
|Black-ish (O)||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.86||1.18|
|The Middle||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||2.03||1.28|
|Agents of SHIELD (O)||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||1.43||0.91|
|How to Get Away with Murder (O)||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||2.12||1.34|
|The Goldbergs||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||2.15||1.36|
|Grey’s Anatomy (O)||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||2.38||1.51|
|Scandal (O)||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||2.52||1.59|
|Modern Family||😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||2.76||1.75|
“American Crime” opened its second season to ratings (1.2 in adults 18-49) that were considerably lower than its series debut in 2015 (2.0).
It’s rated as a tossup for renewal, however, and not just because it’s only aired one episode thus far. It’s because that in 2016, ratings in the low 1s for a limited-run show might be just enough to keep it going.
This season has already shown that network have a higher tolerance for underperforming shows than in the past. Although the likes of ABC’s own “Blood & Oil,” NBC’s “The Player” and FOX’s “Minority Report” were canceled, they stuck around far longer than similarly rated shows have in the past. Their ratings were just a touch higher than what fill-in reruns would have done, so they got to play out the string.
What’s that have to do with “American Crime”? The fact that it’s a short-run show that’s filling what would otherwise be a rerun-heavy period on the schedule may mean ABC can tolerate lower ratings than it would from a full-season series. If it can pull low 1s for 10 weeks, that’s as good or better than the average of a handful of originals and repeats might be.
The rather big if, of course, is whether “American Crime” can in fact maintain its current level, or something close to it.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|😥||sure bet to be canceled by May 2016|
|😦 😦||likely to be canceled by May 2016|
|😐 😐 😐||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2016|
|🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||likely to be renewed by May 2016|
|😀 😀 😀 😀 😀||sure bet to be renewed by May 2016|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode live+same-day adults 18-49 average rating by the live+same-day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. Why live+same-day ratings? Because they correlate very closely with the rarely disclosed C3 ratings (viewing of commercials within three days of air), which are the basis for most ad deals.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays tend to be renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.