Here are ABC’s renew/cancel standings for week 15 of the 2017-18 season.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
The Middle Final season 1.35 0.65
Scandal (O) Final season 1.16 0.46
Ten Days in the Valley (some Sat.) Canceled 0.36 -0.34
Kevin (Probably) Saves the World (O) 🐻 🐻 0.72 0.02
Once Upon a Time (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 0.54 0.07
Inhumans (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.59 0.14
Agents of SHIELD (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.60 0.16
The Mayor (O) Canceled 0.82 0.12
Fresh Off the Boat 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.08 0.38
How to Get Away with Murder (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.93 0.23
Designated Survivor (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.81 0.11
Speechless 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.15 0.45
Black-ish (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.15 0.45
American Housewife (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.31 0.61
The Good Doctor 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.91 1.21
Grey’s Anatomy (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.97 1.27
The Goldbergs Renewed 1.51 0.81
Modern Family Renewed 1.74 1.04

 

Friday has been a reasonably hospitable place for “Agents of SHIELD” early in its run this season: Ratings are predictably down from last season, but not by a ton. The show is off by 21 percent (0.76 last season vs. 0.6 now), less than the 30 percent adjustment the Bear makes for Friday shows.

“Agents of SHIELD” has also inched (barely) ahead of its Marvel counterpart, “Inhumans,” in the renew/cancel index. The show isn’t really thriving on Fridays, but it’s managing. Given how far ABC has fallen on the whole on Fridays this season, that might be enough to keep the show around for another run.

Before “SHIELD” began its season, the Bear thought it would be a candidate to have an end date announced. That may yet happen, but now the Bear is leaning toward the show being renewed. It gets an upgrade to a likely pickup — very much subject to change down the line.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2018

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

 Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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