Here are ABC’s renew/cancel standings for week 16 of the 2017-18 season.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
The Middle Final season 1.34 0.64
Scandal (O) Final season 1.16 0.46
Ten Days in the Valley (some Sat.) Canceled 0.36 -0.34
Kevin (Probably) Saves the World (O) 🐻 🐻 0.71 0.01
Once Upon a Time (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 0.54 0.07
Inhumans (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 0.59 0.14
Agents of SHIELD (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.60 0.16
The Mayor (O) Canceled 0.82 0.12
Fresh Off the Boat 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.08 0.38
How to Get Away with Murder (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.93 0.23
Designated Survivor (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.81 0.11
Speechless 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.15 0.45
Black-ish (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.14 0.44
American Housewife (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.3 0.6
The Good Doctor 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.88 1.18
Grey’s Anatomy (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.97 1.27
The Goldbergs Renewed 1.51 0.81
Modern Family Renewed 1.73 1.03

 

Usually when network presidents are asked questions about marginally rated shows, they say things like “[The lead] is fantastic. … Audiences really connect with the hopeful nature of the show.”

That’s an actual quote from ABC head Channing Dungey about “Kevin (Probably) Saves the World.” What network presidents don’t usually say — and why the Bear takes note in this case — is what Dungey said about “Inhumans” at the winter TV press tour last week:

“‘Inhumans’ was a really big swing for all of us which I don’t think quite landed with the impact we would have wanted. The numbers were a little disappointing. … We haven’t made any firm decisions yet, but I think that one’s a longer shot.”

So — yeah. “Inhumans” is now downgraded to a likely cancellation. If the head of ABC is saying that before most of her pilots for next year are even written, you know the outlook is not good.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2018

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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    […] Surprising no one, Inhumans is unlikely to return, But Kevin (Probably) Saves the World might be bac…, just based on what was said about them at the TCAs. […]

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