Here are ABC’s renew/cancel standings for week 19 of the 2017-18 season.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|The Middle||Final season||1.35||0.65|
|Scandal (O)||Final season||1.2||0.5|
|Ten Days in the Valley (some Sat.)||Canceled||0.36||-0.34|
|Kevin (Probably) Saves the World (O)||🐻 🐻||0.7||0.0|
|Once Upon a Time (F) (O)||🐻 🐻||0.54||0.07|
|Inhumans (F) (O)||🐻 🐻||0.59||0.14|
|Agents of SHIELD (F) (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.6||0.16|
|The Mayor (O)||Canceled||0.82||0.12|
|Fresh Off the Boat||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.05||0.35|
|How to Get Away with Murder (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.95||0.25|
|Designated Survivor (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.81||0.11|
|Speechless||🐻 🐻 🐻||1.16||0.46|
|Black-ish (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.13||0.43|
|American Housewife (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.29||0.59|
|The Good Doctor||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.85||1.15|
|Grey’s Anatomy (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||2.07||1.37|
You can say this for “Kevin (Probably) Saves the World”: Its ratings are consistent.
But they’re consistently among the lowest of any scripted show ABC has aired this season. Only the Friday lineup and the already canceled “Ten Days in the Valley” have fared worse, and with the adjustment for lower TV usage on Fridays, “Kevin’s” Renew/Cancel index number is lower than any Friday-night series.
All of which leads to Bear to reiterate his prior prediction that “Kevin (Probably) Saves the World” will probably be canceled. The show may have its loyalists, but there aren’t enough of them.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2018|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.