Here are ABC’s renew/cancel standings for week 25 of the 2017-18 season.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
The Middle Final season 1.31 0.61
Scandal (O) Final season 1.18 0.48
Ten Days in the Valley (some Sat.) Canceled 0.36 -0.34
Kevin (Probably) Saves the World (O) 🐻 🐻 0.66 -0.04
Once Upon a Time (F) (O) Final season 0.53 0.06
Inhumans (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 0.59 0.14
For the People (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.8 0.1
Agents of SHIELD (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.58 0.13
The Mayor (O) Canceled 0.82 0.12
Fresh Off the Boat 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.03 0.33
How to Get Away with Murder (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.95 0.25
Designated Survivor (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.77 0.07
Speechless 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.13 0.43
Deception 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.0 0.3
Black-ish (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.09 0.39
American Housewife (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.25 0.55
The Good Doctor Renewed 1.81 1.11
Grey’s Anatomy (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 2.01 1.31
The Goldbergs Renewed 1.52 0.82
Modern Family Renewed 1.68 0.98

 

TV Twitter has dubbed ABC’s new series “Deception” “Magic Castle,” and the name fits in terms of the show’s story — about an illusionist who consults with the FBI, as author Rick Castle did with the NYPD — and, as it turns out, ratings profile.

Over its first two episodes, “Deception” has held on to about half of its “American Idol” lead-in. That tracks fairly well with how well “Castle” retained out of “Dancing With the Stars” late in its life (earlier seasons fared better on that front).

“Deception” would do well to remain in the 1.0 range for the rest of the spring. Continued declines will put it in peril. It’s a tossup for now, but consistency could earn it a place in the safe zone.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2018

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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