ABC’s renew/cancel standings for week 27 of the 2016-17 don’t see a way forward for a prestige drama.

Here are the standings, and here’s an explanation of the Bear’s methodology.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Notorious Canceled 0.87 0.17
Conviction (O) Canceled 0.64 -0.06
American Crime (O) 🐻 🐻 0.4 -0.30
Time After Time 🐻 🐻 0.53 -0.17
Secrets and Lies (O) 🐻 🐻 0.76 0.06
Quantico (O) 🐻 🐻 0.74 0.04
The Catch (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.73 0.03
Dr. Ken (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.88 0.56
The Real O’Neals (O) 🐻 🐻 0.93 0.23
Agents of SHIELD (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.75 0.05
Once Upon a Time (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.0 0.3
Last Man Standing (F) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.17 0.97
How to Get Away with Murder (O) Renewed 1.29 0.59
Fresh Off the Boat 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.22 0.52
The Middle Renewed 1.58 0.88
Scandal (O) Renewed 1.57 0.87
American Housewife (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.53 0.83
Speechless 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.64 0.94
Designated Survivor (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.39 0.69
Grey’s Anatomy (O) Renewed 2.15 1.45
The Goldbergs 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.81 1.11
Modern Family 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 2.19 1.49
Black-ish (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.58 0.88

 

More than a few reviews of “American Crime’s” third season noted that the show’s scope and ambition call to mind the late HBO show “The Wire.”

The Bear will leave determinations of quality to TV critics. “American Crime” is also, unfortunately for its future, invoking “The Wire” in another way — hardly anyone is watching.

“American Crime’s” second season had marginal ratings, averaging a 0.9 rating among adults 18-49. Its relatively short run and status as a prestige player for the network (a pair of Emmy wins and 14 nominations to date) allowed ABC to bring it back for another limited run this season.

Ratings, however, have cratered. The show is currently averaging less than half the audience it had last season, and prestige or no, that’s not sustainable. “American Crime” is likely to be canceled.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2017
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2017

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

 Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

  • http://foolishwatcher.com/2017/03/29/you-know-who-is-an-asshole-bill-oreilly-is-an-asshole/ You know who is an asshole? Bill O’Reilly is an asshole. – foolish watcher

    […] American Crime‘s ratings have sunk even lower from last season’s low numbers, and is unlikely to be renewed. (Of course, that’s been said about this series before.) […]

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