Here are ABC’s renew/cancel standings for week 3 of the 2017-18 season. They’re undecided on a first-year series.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
The Middle Final season 1.5 0.8
Scandal (O) Final season 1.3 0.6
Ten Days in the Valley 🐻 🐻 0.43 -0.27
Kevin (Probably) Saves the World (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.9 0.2
Once Upon a Time (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.7 0.3
Inhumans (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.73 0.34
The Mayor (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.1 0.4
Fresh Off the Boat 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.25 0.55
How to Get Away with Murder (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.97 0.27
Designated Survivor (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.97 0.27
Speechless 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.27 0.57
Black-ish (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.4 0.7
American Housewife (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.47 0.77
The Good Doctor 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 2.13 1.43
Grey’s Anatomy (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 2.17 1.47
The Goldbergs Renewed 1.63 0.93
Modern Family Renewed 1.93 1.23

 

“The Mayor” has earned its share of praise from critics in the early part of the season. What it hasn’t picked up yet is much of an audience.

The show premiered to so-so ratings two weeks ago — a 1.2 in adults 18-49 — and fell to 1.0 in its second outing last week. On the downside, its 1.1 average is the weakest of ABC’s comedies so far. On a slightly positive note, its week 2 fade wasn’t too bad.

The Bear is leaving “The Mayor” as a tossup at the moment. ABC’s ownership of the show may well help carry it past its initial episode order. Whether it gets to extend its term into next season, however, is very much up in the air.

Also, the Bear is upgrading “The Good Doctor” and “Grey’s Anatomy” to certain renewals. They’re the two highest-rated shows on the network so far.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2018

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

 Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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