Here are ABC’s renew/cancel standings for week 6 of the 2017-18 season, wherein the network’s worst time period strikes again.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
The Middle Final season 1.36 0.66
Scandal (O) Final season 1.18 0.48
Ten Days in the Valley DSW 0.43 -0.27
Kevin (Probably) Saves the World (O) 🐻 🐻 0.78 0.08
Once Upon a Time (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.58 0.13
Inhumans (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.6 0.16
The Mayor (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.90 0.20
Fresh Off the Boat 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.12 0.42
How to Get Away with Murder (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.93 0.23
Designated Survivor (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.85 0.15
Speechless 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.17 0.47
Black-ish (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.2 0.5
American Housewife (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.38 0.68
The Good Doctor 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 2.02 1.32
Grey’s Anatomy (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 2.02 1.32
The Goldbergs Renewed 1.52 0.82
Modern Family Renewed 1.78 1.08

 

 

How do you undo the damage created in your network’s worst timeslot? It’s a complex question.

But here’s one way not to go about it: putting a niche show that’s part drama and part comedy and not terribly easy to sell in said timeslot. You don’t have to be a TV wonk, or a Bear, to have guessed that “Kevin (Probably) Saves the World” would have a tough go in ABC’s black hole of 10 p.m. Tuesdays.

And so it has. “Kevin” is barely above replacement level, and has the lowest Renew/Cancel Index number on ABC outside of Dead Show Walking “Ten Days in the Valley.” It’s likely to play out its full order, but it’s also likely be canceled.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2018

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

 Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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