Here are ABC’s renew/cancel standings for week 6 of the 2017-18 season, wherein the network’s worst time period strikes again.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|The Middle||Final season||1.36||0.66|
|Scandal (O)||Final season||1.18||0.48|
|Ten Days in the Valley||DSW||0.43||-0.27|
|Kevin (Probably) Saves the World (O)||🐻 🐻||0.78||0.08|
|Once Upon a Time (F) (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.58||0.13|
|Inhumans (F) (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.6||0.16|
|The Mayor (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.90||0.20|
|Fresh Off the Boat||🐻 🐻 🐻||1.12||0.42|
|How to Get Away with Murder (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||0.93||0.23|
|Designated Survivor (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻||0.85||0.15|
|Speechless||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.17||0.47|
|Black-ish (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.2||0.5|
|American Housewife (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.38||0.68|
|The Good Doctor||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||2.02||1.32|
|Grey’s Anatomy (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||2.02||1.32|
How do you undo the damage created in your network’s worst timeslot? It’s a complex question.
But here’s one way not to go about it: putting a niche show that’s part drama and part comedy and not terribly easy to sell in said timeslot. You don’t have to be a TV wonk, or a Bear, to have guessed that “Kevin (Probably) Saves the World” would have a tough go in ABC’s black hole of 10 p.m. Tuesdays.
And so it has. “Kevin” is barely above replacement level, and has the lowest Renew/Cancel Index number on ABC outside of Dead Show Walking “Ten Days in the Valley.” It’s likely to play out its full order, but it’s also likely be canceled.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2018|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2018|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.