Here are ABC’s renew/cancel standings for week 8 of the 2017-18 season, which like a veteran’s chances at renewal.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
The Middle Final season 1.36 0.66
Scandal (O) Final season 1.16 0.46
Ten Days in the Valley DSW 0.43 -0.27
Kevin (Probably) Saves the World (O) 🐻 🐻 0.76 0.06
Once Upon a Time (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.56 0.10
Inhumans (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.59 0.14
The Mayor (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.84 0.14
Fresh Off the Boat 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.1 0.4
How to Get Away with Murder (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.93 0.23
Designated Survivor (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.84 0.14
Speechless 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.16 0.46
Black-ish (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.17 0.47
American Housewife (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.37 0.67
The Good Doctor 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 2.0 1.3
Grey’s Anatomy (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.97 1.27
The Goldbergs Renewed 1.51 0.81
Modern Family Renewed 1.77 1.07

 

It’s safe to say that ABC’s TGIT as we know it ends this season. “Scandal,” after all, is in its final season.

But that doesn’t mean the network will abandon the Shondaland ship, even as its namesake, Shonda Rhimes, starts her new deal with Netflix. “Grey’s Anatomy” may outlive us all, and the Bear thinks “How to Get Away with Murder” will get at least one more go-round as well.

“How to Get Away” hasn’t pulled in very good numbers this season, as it hovers around a 0.9 going into an eight-week break. Relative to the rest of the network, however, that’s not so bad: It’s the second highest-rated 10 o’clock show ABC has.

It’s likely that when the end does come for “How to Get Away with Murder,” ABC will let us know beforehand. That in turn means the show will probably make it through to next season.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2018

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

 Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

  • http://foolishwatcher.com/2017/11/22/hey-heres-some-good-news-for-a-refreshing-forking-change/ Hey, here’s some ‘Good’ news, for a refreshing forking change. – foolish watcher

    […] How to Get Away With Murder is slipping, but with the end of Scandal this season, it’s unlikely to go anywhere. Also, Marvel’s Inhumans is not dead? Somehow? […]

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