CBS’ renew/cancel standings for week 11 of the 2016-17 season offer a tip of the paw to an unsexy but long-running drama.

Here are the standings, and here’s an explanation of the Bear’s methodology.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Elementary (O) 🐻 🐻 0.7 0
Pure Genius DSW 0.88 0.18
Code Black (O) 🐻 🐻 0.97 0.27
The Odd Couple (O) 🐻 🐻 1.0 0.3
Life in Pieces 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.28 0.58
Criminal Minds (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.53 0.83
Blue Bloods (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.21 1.03
Hawaii Five-0 (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.26 1.10
MacGyver (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.17 0.97
Mom 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.37 0.67
NCIS: Los Angeles (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.48 0.78
2 Broke Girls 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.43 0.73
Man with a Plan (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.38 0.68
Bull (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.69 0.99
The Great Indoors (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.5 0.8
Kevin Can Wait (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.95 1.25
The Big Bang Theory 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 3.39 2.69
Madam Secretary (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.01 0.31
NCIS: New Orleans (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.29 0.59
Scorpion (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.25 0.55
NCIS (O) Renewed 1.89 1.19

 

“Blue Bloods” is the kind of show that seems like it has been on forever. At the rate it’s going, it just might be.

The show is in its seventh season, and the Bear has never even really sniffed at it. Its 18-49 rating so far this season (1.21) is identical to this time last year, and a 1.21 on a Friday is the equivalent of a 1.73 for a scripted show on another day of the week.

It’s pretty much the definition of an under-the-radar success, in other words. It just does its job well week in and week out. There’s no reason to think it will be any other way for the foreseeable future.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2017
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2017

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

 Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

  • http://foolishwatcher.com/2016/12/07/is-your-favorite-fall-show-about-to-be-cancelled-maybe-possibly-it-could-happen/ Is your favorite fall show about to be cancelled? MAYBE. POSSIBLY. IT COULD HAPPEN. – foolish watcher

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