Cancel Bear vs. CBS, week 12: ‘Madam Secretary’ will extend its term into next season

Here are CBS’ renew/cancel standings for week 12 of the 2017-18 season, which hold good news for a low-rated show.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Me, Myself & I DSW 1.0 0.3
Wisdom of the Crowd DSW 0.95 0.25
Madam Secretary (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.67 -0.03
Superior Donuts (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.93 0.23
Scorpion (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.84 0.14
NCIS: New Orleans (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.0 0.3
Man with a Plan (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.04 0.34
NCIS: Los Angeles (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.96 0.26
Criminal Minds (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.03 0.33
SWAT 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.0 0.3
SEAL Team (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.13 0.43
9JKL (O) 🐻 🐻 1.02 0.32
MacGyver (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.84 0.50
Life in Pieces 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.16 0.46
Bull (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.19 0.49
Mom 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.47 0.77
Hawaii Five-0 (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.99 0.72
Blue Bloods (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.93 0.63
NCIS (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.42 0.72
Kevin Can Wait (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.3 0.6
Young Sheldon 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 2.39 1.69
The Big Bang Theory Renewed 2.81 2.11

 

The Bear has perhaps not paid as close attention as he should have to the ins and outs of the syndication and streaming market in recent months.

Had the Bear done so, he would have had “Madam Secretary” as a likely renewal before now. But better late than never: The show gets an upgrade this week.

Yes, it’s CBS’ lowest-rated scripted series this season. But in the past couple of months, it has also locked down a streaming deal with Netflix and both cable and broadcast syndication agreements.

And yep, “Madam Secretary” is made by CBS Television Studios, so it all flows back to the parent company’s bottom line.

As “Elementary” has demonstrated, marginal-to-weak ratings aren’t necessarily a death sentence when the network’s owners can make money on a show other ways. So it is with “Madam Secretary,” and so the show is likely to return next season.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2018

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number. Any scripted show on Saturdays will use the same formula.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.