CBS’ renew/cancel standings for week 12 of the 2016-17 season note that a veteran comedy is falling but should get a soft landing.

Here are the standings, and here’s an explanation of the Bear’s methodology.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Elementary (O) 🐻 🐻 0.69 -0.01
Pure Genius DSW 0.9 0.2
Code Black (O) 🐻 🐻 0.98 0.28
The Odd Couple (O) 🐻 🐻 1.0 0.3
Life in Pieces 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.29 0.59
Criminal Minds (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.5 0.8
Blue Bloods (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.21 1.03
Hawaii Five-0 (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.25 1.09
MacGyver (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.15 0.94
Mom 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.37 0.67
NCIS: Los Angeles (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.48 0.78
2 Broke Girls 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.41 0.71
Man with a Plan (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.35 0.65
Bull (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.66 0.96
The Great Indoors (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.5 0.8
Kevin Can Wait (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.91 1.21
The Big Bang Theory 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 3.39 2.69
Madam Secretary (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.98 0.28
NCIS: New Orleans (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.28 0.58
Scorpion (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.25 0.55
NCIS (O) Renewed 1.88 1.18

 

 

“Mom” has declined year to year, falling about 16 percent from its performance last fall to this. It’s still likely to return next season.

Here’s the thing: “Mom’s” ratings slide nearly matches that of CBS’ scripted slate as a whole. The network’s comedies and dramas are down 13 percent vs. this time last year. In both seasons, “Mom” was basically a network-average show — a couple hundredths of a point above it in fall 2015, a couple hundredths below it now.

There’s also the little matter of the show going into syndication next fall, where producer Warner Bros. stands to make a good deal of money. Studio and network will work out a deal that keeps the show humming along for at least another season.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2017
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2017

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

 Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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