Here are CBS’ renew/cancel standings for week 19 of the 2017-18 season.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Me, Myself & I Canceled 1.0 0.3
Wisdom of the Crowd Canceled 0.92 0.22
Madam Secretary (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.67 -0.03
Superior Donuts (O) 🐻 🐻 0.95 0.25
Scorpion (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.84 0.14
NCIS: New Orleans (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.0 0.3
Man with a Plan (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.07 0.37
NCIS: Los Angeles (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.96 0.26
Criminal Minds (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.01 0.31
SWAT 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.02 0.32
SEAL Team (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.08 0.38
9JKL (O) 🐻 🐻 0.97 0.27
MacGyver (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.87 0.54
Life in Pieces 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.17 0.47
Bull (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.21 0.51
Mom 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.51 0.81
Hawaii Five-0 (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.01 0.74
Blue Bloods (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.94 0.64
NCIS (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.44 0.74
Kevin Can Wait (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.28 0.58
Young Sheldon Renewed 2.38 1.68
The Big Bang Theory Renewed 2.92 2.22

 

The Bear doesn’t get too excited about ratings bumps in January. It tends to happen every season; it’s cold in most of the country, meaning more people stay indoors, meaning more people are watching TV.

So the reason the Bear is elevating “Man with a Plan” to likely renewal is not that it had a better-than-average run in January. It’s that the show has done a somewhat better job of retaining its lead-in in the past month — and, frankly, that CBS doesn’t have a ton more options in its Monday comedy block as currently constituted.

Remember the maxim: You don’t have to outrun the Bear; you just have to outrun someone slower. “Man with a Plan” is doing that just well enough to make it a likely pickup for next season.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2018

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number. Any scripted show on Saturdays will use the same formula.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

  • http://foolishwatcher.com/2018/02/06/will-someone-please-explain-to-me-how-this-amazing-saturday-night-live-sketch-was-cut-in-favor-of-that-terrible-alien-buttface-one/ Will someone please explain to me how this amazing ‘Saturday Night Live’ sketch was cut in favor of that terrible alien buttface one? – foolish watcher

    […] Man with a Plan is safe, but 9JKL and Superior Donuts are in danger over at CBS. […]

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