CBS’ renew/cancel standings for week 21 of the 2016-17 season like the chances for a new comedy.

Here are the standings, and here’s an explanation of the Bear’s methodology.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Elementary (O) 🐻 🐻 0.68 -0.02
Pure Genius Canceled 0.85 0.15
Training Day 🐻 🐻 0.85 0.15
Code Black (O) 🐻 🐻 0.97 0.27
The Odd Couple (O) 🐻 🐻 1.01 0.31
Ransom (Sat.) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.43 -0.09
Life in Pieces 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.32 0.62
Criminal Minds (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.44 0.74
Blue Bloods (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.21 1.03
Hawaii Five-0 (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.22 1.04
MacGyver (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.13 0.92
Mom 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.45 0.75
NCIS: Los Angeles (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.42 0.72
2 Broke Girls 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.39 0.69
Man with a Plan (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.34 0.64
Superior Donuts (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.65 0.95
Bull (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.56 0.86
The Great Indoors (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.54 0.84
Kevin Can Wait (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.79 1.09
The Big Bang Theory 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 3.36 2.66
Madam Secretary (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.96 0.26
NCIS: New Orleans (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.22 0.52
Scorpion (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.23 0.53
NCIS (O) Renewed 1.85 1.15

 

 

“Superior Donuts” delivered a 1.4 rating for its first episode in its regular Monday home. That’s in line with CBS’ other Monday comedies. That alone would make it a likely renewal (at least at this early point in its run).

Consider also, however, that its move into the Monday block gave the lineup an instant ratings upgrade. “Superior” and “2 Broke Girls” went 1.4/1.3 last week, an average of 1.35 for the hour. Earlier in the season “2 Broke Girls” and “The Odd Couple” never averaged higher than a 1.3, and that only happened twice.

If “Superior Donuts” can remain in the mid-1s into the spring, it should coast into a second season. It’s early yet, but it’s a pretty good start for the show.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2017
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2017

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number. Any scripted show on Saturdays will use the same formula.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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    […] Superior Donuts is doing well, but wow, Ransom is a disaster. Keep your eye on that one because it’ll be interesting to see if CBS continues its Saturday primetime experiment. […]

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