CBS’ renew/cancel standings for week 23 of the 2016-17 season move a veteran show up to sure-bet status.

Here are the standings, and here’s an explanation of the Bear’s methodology.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Elementary (O) 🐻 🐻 0.68 -0.02
Pure Genius Canceled 0.85 0.15
Doubt (O) Canceled 0.7 0.0
Training Day 🐻 🐻 0.75 0.05
Code Black (O) 🐻 🐻 0.97 0.27
The Odd Couple (O) 🐻 🐻 1.01 0.31
Ransom (Sat.) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.44 -0.07
Life in Pieces 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.31 0.61
Criminal Minds (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.43 0.73
Blue Bloods (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.21 1.03
Hawaii Five-0 (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.21 1.03
MacGyver (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.12 0.90
Mom 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.45 0.75
NCIS: Los Angeles (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.39 0.69
2 Broke Girls 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.37 0.67
Man with a Plan (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.34 0.64
Superior Donuts (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.48 0.78
Bull (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.53 0.83
The Great Indoors (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.54 0.84
Kevin Can Wait (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.76 1.06
The Big Bang Theory 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 3.3 2.6
Madam Secretary (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.96 0.26
NCIS: New Orleans (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.21 0.51
Scorpion (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.23 0.53
NCIS (O) Renewed 1.83 1.13

 

“Hawaii Five-0” had a rocky start last season, hovering just above a 1.0 in adults 18-49 before getting a wintertime bump. Its 18-49 ratings climbed above 1.1 only five times in 25 episodes.

This season, the show has executed a solid turnaround. Its 18-49 rating is up vs. last season, and it’s been above 1.1 all but five times through its first 18 airings.

Those factors make the Bear confident enough to lock in “Five-0” as a sure thing to return next season. The show is the highest-rated scripted show airing on Friday (it’s a couple hundredths of a point ahead of “Last Man Standing”) and, considering its spot in the lower-trafficked environs of Friday night, is as relatively strong as any of CBS’ dramas outside of “NCIS.”

“Hawaii Five-0” will be back in 2017-18. (“Doubt” will not. CBS yanked it last week, making the Bear’s quickest meal of the season so far.)

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2017
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2017

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number. Any scripted show on Saturdays will use the same formula.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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