Here are CBS’ renew/cancel standings for week 25 of the 2017-18 season.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Me, Myself & I Canceled 1.0 0.3
Wisdom of the Crowd Canceled 0.92 0.22
Madam Secretary (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.66 -0.04
Living Biblically 🐻 🐻 0.73 0.03
Superior Donuts (O) 🐻 🐻 0.94 0.24
Scorpion (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.83 0.13
NCIS: New Orleans (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.98 0.28
Man with a Plan (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.05 0.35
NCIS: Los Angeles (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.95 0.25
Criminal Minds (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.99 0.29
Instinct (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.0 0.3
SWAT 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.99 0.29
SEAL Team (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.05 0.35
9JKL (O) 🐻 🐻 0.97 0.27
MacGyver (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.86 0.53
Life in Pieces 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.17 0.47
Bull (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.19 0.49
Mom 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.51 0.81
Hawaii Five-0 (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.0 0.73
Blue Bloods (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.93 0.63
NCIS (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.43 0.73
Kevin Can Wait (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.26 0.56
Young Sheldon Renewed 2.33 1.63
The Big Bang Theory Renewed 2.88 2.18

 

“Instinct” is all of two days old, with premiere ratings right in the middle of “middling.” So the Bear is not going to make a firm up-or-down prediction yet. It’s a tossup.

But the Bear is going to be watching it very closely in the coming weeks. It could be a very interesting test case.

Its premiere 18-49 rating of 1.0 puts it slightly ahead of the average for “Wisdom of the Crowd” in the fall. It’s unlikely to end up doing much better than that, given the generally lower numbers for networks in the spring vs. the fall.

“Instinct” is, however, an in-house production, and if it remains relatively stable, the Bear suspects it will get the benefit of the doubt. Off-camera issues aside, “Wisdom of the Crowd” was pretty dependent on NFL Sundays to get it above 1.0; it tended to fall by 30 percent or more in weeks when CBS didn’t have the late-afternoon national game.

“Instinct” won’t get those kinds of semi-regular boosts, but that just means the show will more quickly reveal what its true audience is.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2018

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number. Any scripted show on Saturdays will use the same formula.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

  • http://foolishwatcher.com/2018/03/20/here-on-the-stupidest-timeline-the-president-hires-people-he-sees-on-the-teevee/ Here on the stupidest timeline, the President hires people he sees on the teevee. – foolish watcher

    […] Instinct is doing slightly better than Wisdom of the Crowd, and will probably be renewed if it can hold steady. […]

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