CBS’ renew/cancel standings for week 3 of the 2016-17 season have a veteran show looking good, especially compared to a year ago.

Here are the standings, and here’s an explanation of the new methodology.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Elementary (O) 🐻 🐻 0.8 0.1
Code Black (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.1 0.4
Criminal Minds (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.65 0.95
Blue Bloods (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.27 1.12
Hawaii Five-0 (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.33 1.20
NCIS: Los Angeles (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.5 0.8
MacGyver (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.37 1.26
Bull (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 2.05 1.35
Kevin Can Wait (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 2.5 1.8
The Big Bang Theory 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 3.63 2.93
Madam Secretary (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.1 0.4
NCIS: New Orleans (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.45 0.75
Scorpion (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.5 0.8
NCIS (O) Renewed 2.07 1.37

 

This time last season, the Bear was ready to write off “Hawaii Five-0” after it premiered to a 1.0 in adults 18-49. It didn’t get above 1.1 until January.

This year? With “MacGyver” getting off to a big start, “Five-0” premiered to a 1.4, matching its season high from 2015-16. “MacGyver” has fallen each week since then, but “Hawaii Five-0” hasn’t. It’s been at 1.3 for the past two weeks.

Those are solid numbers, especially for a Friday — last week it was the top show on the night. It’s on track for a renewal.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2017
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2017

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 before subtracting the replacement-level number.

 Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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