CBS’ renew/cancel standings for week 6 of the 2016-17 season do not like the chances for a new series after a soft premiere.

Here are the standings, and here’s an explanation of the Bear’s methodology.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Elementary (O) 🐻 🐻 0.73 0.03
Pure Genius 🐻 🐻 1.0 0.3
Code Black (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.08 0.38
The Odd Couple (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.1 0.4
Life in Pieces 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.4 0.7
Criminal Minds (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.65 0.95
Blue Bloods (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.22 1.04
Hawaii Five-0 (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.23 1.06
Mom 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.5 0.8
NCIS: Los Angeles (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.46 0.76
2 Broke Girls 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.6 0.9
Man with a Plan (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.6 0.9
MacGyver (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.2 1.02
Bull (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.76 1.06
The Great Indoors (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.9 1.2
Kevin Can Wait (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 2.23 1.53
The Big Bang Theory 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 3.53 2.83
Madam Secretary (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.03 0.33
NCIS: New Orleans (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.32 0.62
Scorpion (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.4 0.7
NCIS (O) Renewed 1.92 1.22

 

“Pure Genius” premiered to a 1.0 rating in adults 18-49 last week. That is … not good.

Here’s how not-good it was: That’s the lowest premiere for a CBS drama since “Battle Creek” (also 1.0) in March 2015. That show never got above 1.0 on its way to being canceled after 13 episodes. Even last season’s “Rush Hour” opened at a 1.1.

So, yeah. The Bear is setting a place at the table for “Pure Genius.” The question now is whether CBS lets the show play out its order or pulls it early.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2017
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2017

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

 Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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