CBS’ renew/cancel standings for week 9 of the 2016-17 season show the network’s first-year comedies in pretty good shape.

Here are the standings, and here’s an explanation of the Bear’s methodology.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Elementary (O) 🐻 🐻 0.7 0
Pure Genius DSW 0.93 0.23
Code Black (O) 🐻 🐻 0.97 0.27
The Odd Couple (O) 🐻 🐻 1.02 0.32
Life in Pieces 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.38 0.68
Criminal Minds (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.55 0.85
Blue Bloods (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.21 1.03
Hawaii Five-0 (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.26 1.10
MacGyver (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.17 0.97
Mom 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.43 0.73
NCIS: Los Angeles (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.48 0.78
2 Broke Girls 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.43 0.73
Man with a Plan (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.4 0.7
Bull (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.72 1.02
The Great Indoors (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.65 0.95
Kevin Can Wait (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 2.0 1.3
The Big Bang Theory 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 3.42 2.72
Madam Secretary (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.01 0.31
NCIS: New Orleans (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.3 0.6
Scorpion (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.26 0.56
NCIS (O) Renewed 1.89 1.19

 

CBS has debuted three new comedies this season, and all of them are at this point likely renewals. “Kevin Can Wait,” “Man with a Plan” and “The Great Indoors” are on track to return in 2017-18.

It’s fitting, since they all fit into the “older guy exasperated by the younger generation” subgenre of sitcom. “Kevin” has the best numbers of the bunch so far, helped by a month of “The Big Bang Theory” as a lead-in. It has settled into the mid- to high-1s since taking over the leadoff spot on Monday nights, which should be plenty to earn a second season in the current climate.

“Man with a Plan” and “The Great Indoors” have both put up middling numbers, but their averages are right in line with the rest of the network’s comedies that aren’t “The Big Bang Theory.” They’re also at or above the network’s scripted average as a whole and well above replacement level.

It’s a long season, and one or more of these shows could fade by spring. But the bet now is all three are likely to return.

That won’t be the case for “Pure Genius,” which became a Dead Show Walking on Monday. The Bear was never high on its chances, so the news doesn’t come as much of a surprise.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2017
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2017

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

 Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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