Here are FOX’s renew/cancel standings for week 17 of the 2017-18 season.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
The Exorcist (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 0.41 -0.11
Brooklyn Nine-Nine 🐻 🐻 0.65 -0.05
The Mick (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.78 0.08
The Last Man on Earth (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.9 0.2
Gotham 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.88 0.18
Lethal Weapon 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.04 0.34
LA to Vegas (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.93 0.23
Bob’s Burgers (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.39 0.69
Family Guy (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.29 0.59
Ghosted (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.18 0.48
Lucifer 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.90 0.20
The Gifted (O) Renewed 1.01 0.31
Star (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.34 0.64
9-1-1 (O) Renewed 1.7 1.0
Empire (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.92 1.22
The Orville (O) Renewed 0.99 0.29
The Simpsons (O) Renewed 1.9 1.2

 

“Ghosted” has been off the air for a couple weeks as FOX has covered the NFL playoffs, so its ratings haven’t changed.

Its status, however, has: The Bear is downgrading the show from likely renewal to tossup.

“Ghosted’s” profile is looking a lot like that of the canceled “Son of Zorn” last season (the two have nearly identical ratings), and now that FOX’s NFL commitment is done, there will be no more Sundays with heavy football traffic leading into primetime and bumping ratings up.

The series also changed showrunners midstream and will try to sell audiences (and the network) on the tweaked format (more workplace hijinx, less paranormal investigation) over its remaining episodes.

Those kinds of changes carry the whiff of panicky network execs. That usually doesn’t end well for shows. The Bear has a close eye on the remainder of the season for “Ghosted.”

(The Bear will add “The Resident” to the index next week, after the show has aired in its regular Monday timeslot.)

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2018

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 7 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

 Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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