Here are FOX’s renew/cancel standings for week 23 of the 2017-18 season.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
The Exorcist (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 0.41 -0.11
Brooklyn Nine-Nine 🐻 🐻 0.65 -0.05
The Mick (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.76 0.06
The Last Man on Earth (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.9 0.2
Gotham 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.87 0.17
Lethal Weapon 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.05 0.35
LA to Vegas (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.85 0.15
The Resident (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.28 0.58
Bob’s Burgers (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.39 0.69
Family Guy (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.29 0.59
Ghosted (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.18 0.48
Lucifer 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.89 0.19
The Gifted (O) Renewed 1.01 0.31
Star (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.34 0.64
9-1-1 (O) Renewed 1.64 0.94
Empire (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.92 1.22
The Orville (O) Renewed 0.99 0.29
The Simpsons (O) Renewed 1.9 1.2

 

At the end of January, the Bear noted that if “The Resident” could remain above a 1.0 rating, it would likely survive.

For the next few weeks, it managed to do that — until last week, when it fell to 0.8, its lowest 18-49 number so far. Yet the Bear is still moving “The Resident” up to a likely renewal.

The show is averaging a 0.95 in the episodes following its post-NFC Championship premiere, a rating that FOX can probably live with as it heads into a transitional season next fall. A further swoon in the spring could reverse this ranking, but for now it’s safe.

The network won’t need as much programming in the fall as it does now, thanks to FOX securing the “Thursday Night Football” rights, but the Bear’s gut says “The Resident” will find a place somewhere.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2018

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 7 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

 Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

  • http://foolishwatcher.com/2018/03/06/lets-talk-about-that-sam-nunberg-meltdown/ Let’s talk about that Sam Nunberg meltdown. – foolish watcher

    […] The Resident is doing solidly enough on Fox for a renewal. […]

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