Here are FOX’s renew/cancel standings for week 29 of the 2017-18 season.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
New Girl (O) Final season 0.7 0.0
The Exorcist (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 0.41 -0.11
Brooklyn Nine-Nine 🐻 🐻 0.71 0.01
The Mick (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.74 0.04
The Last Man on Earth (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.82 0.12
Gotham 🐻 🐻 0.81 0.11
Lethal Weapon 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.03 0.33
LA to Vegas (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.77 0.07
The Resident (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.1 0.4
Bob’s Burgers (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.12 0.42
Family Guy (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.19 0.49
Ghosted (O) 🐻 🐻 1.18 0.48
Lucifer 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.86 0.16
The Gifted (O) Renewed 1.01 0.31
Star (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.35 0.65
9-1-1 (O) Renewed 1.64 0.94
Empire (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.92 1.22
The Orville (O) Renewed 0.99 0.29
The Simpsons (O) Renewed 1.59 0.89

Four weeks from now, the broadcast networks will be announcing their schedules for next season. This week the Bear examines the bubble picture for each of the Big 4 networks.

For our purposes here, “on the bubble” means any show whose status is thus far undetermined and not a sure bet to be either canceled or renewed.

The Bubble-est: “LA to Vegas.” Marginal ratings aren’t necessarily a deal-breaker for a FOX live-action comedy — see, well, pretty much all of them. But “LA to Vegas” also has the fewest episodes, and thus the least amount of upside for an off-network deal, of any FOX comedy produced in-house.

Safe to safe-ish (most to least likely to be renewed): “Family Guy,” “The Resident,” “Lethal Weapon,” “Lucifer,” “The Mick,” “The Last Man on Earth”

Not safe (most to least likely to be canceled): “The Exorcist,” “Ghosted,” “Brooklyn Nine-Nine,” “Gotham”

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2018

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 7 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

 Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

  • http://foolishwatcher.com/2018/04/17/oh-sean-hannity-you-lying-dumdum-what-on-earth-did-you-do/ Oh, Sean Hannity, you lying dumdum. What on earth did you do? – foolish watcher

    […] The Exorcist, Ghosted, Brooklyn Nine-Nine, and Gotham — again, some of my favorite shows on Fox — are in danger. […]

    Like

blog comments powered by Disqus