Here are FOX’s renew/cancel standings for week 5 of the 2017-18 season. A veteran show is very much a tossup.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
The Exorcist (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 0.43 -0.09
Brooklyn Nine-Nine 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.65 -0.05
The Mick (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.85 0.15
The Last Man on Earth (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.88 0.18
Gotham 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.9 0.2
Lethal Weapon 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.05 0.35
The Orville (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.05 0.35
Bob’s Burgers (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.23 0.53
Family Guy (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.28 0.58
Ghosted (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.23 0.53
Lucifer 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.93 0.23
The Gifted (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.2 0.5
Star (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.5 0.8
Empire (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 2.03 1.33
The Simpsons Renewed 1.63 0.93

 

 

“Gotham” has been remarkably consistent so far this fall, putting up the same rating among adults 18-49 in each of its five in-season airings.

Just one problem: That rating is a 0.9, which is as low as the show has ever gone. The only drama on FOX with lower ratings so far this season is “The Exorcist.”

Were “Gotham” a FOX-owned series, there wouldn’t be a ton of cause for concern — heaven knows the network has renewed shows with similar or smaller numbers in recent years. But it’s not. “Gotham” is produced by Warner Bros., which means FOX doesn’t make money in the show’s afterlife.

“Gotham” has had a streaming deal in place with Netflix since day one, so there’s a change WB makes it worth FOX’s while to pull one more season out. But it will be close. “Gotham” remains a tossup and under the Bear’s watchful eye.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2018

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 7 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

 Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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