NBC’s renew/cancel standings for week 13 of the 2016-17 season are below.
Here are the standings, and here’s an explanation of the Bear’s methodology.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|The Blacklist||🐻 🐻 🐻||1.16||0.46|
|Blindspot||🐻 🐻 🐻||1.18||0.48|
|Timeless||🐻 🐻 🐻||1.28||0.58|
|Chicago Med (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.34||0.64|
|Superstore (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.26||0.56|
|Chicago PD (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.39||0.69|
|The Good Place (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.38||0.68|
|Law & Order: SVU (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.5||0.80|
|Chicago Fire (O)||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||1.61||0.91|
|This Is Us||🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||2.6||1.90|
The Bear has said about all there is to say about NBC this fall, and now NBC has as well. The final “Timeless” episode of the year aired last week, bringing the network’s scripted slate to a close for 2016. Updated averages and index numbers are above.
The Bear is taking the next two weeks off as there’s next to no original programming between now and the new year. He’ll return the week of Jan. 9.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|🐻||sure bet to be canceled by May 2017|
|🐻 🐻||likely to be canceled by May 2017|
|🐻 🐻 🐻||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2017|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||likely to be renewed by May 2017|
|🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻||sure bet to be renewed by May 2017|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 before subtracting the replacement-level number.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.