Here are NBC’s renew/cancel standings for week 16 of the 2017-18 season.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
The Blacklist 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.94 0.24
Taken (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 0.5 0.02
The Brave 🐻 🐻 0.97 0.27
Great News (O) 🐻 🐻 0.76 0.06
Law & Order True Crime (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.04 0.34
Blindspot (F) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.69 0.29
Chicago PD (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.2 0.5
Superstore (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.13 0.43
Law & Order: SVU (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.29 0.59
The Good Place (O) Renewed 1.13 0.43
Chicago Fire (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.14 0.44
Chicago Med (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.30 0.60
Will & Grace (O) Renewed 1.80 1.10
This Is Us Renewed 2.78 2.08

 

Paws up, anyone who’s surprised “Taken” fared poorly in its second-season premiere on Friday.

No one, then? Sounds about right. “Taken” had fairly weak numbers last season — and renewed largely because it was a Universal TV show that was also relatively cheap (co-financed by a European partner) — and its second-season premiere was barely above replacement level, even accounting for lower TV usage on Friday.

It’s a near-ironclad rule of broadcast TV that a show that’s marginally rated in Season 1 will stay that way, or get worse, in Season 2. Inexpensive IP isn’t magic — if no one watches, it’s going away. Thus “Taken” begins as a likely cancellation.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2018

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 before subtracting the replacement-level number.

 Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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    […] Taken still isn’t doing great ratings-wise. […]

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