NBC’s renew/cancel standings for week 28 of the 2016-17 season don’t like the chances for a freshman series.

Here are the standings, and here’s an explanation of the Bear’s methodology.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Grimm (F) (O) Final season 0.8 0.44
Emerald City (F) (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.69 0.29
The Blacklist: Redemption 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.78 0.08
Powerless 🐻 🐻 0.77 0.07
Shades of Blue (O) Renewed 0.84 0.14
Trial & Error 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.08 0.38
The Blacklist 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.06 0.36
Blindspot 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.05 0.35
Timeless 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.12 0.42
Chicago Med (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.28 0.58
Superstore (O) Renewed 1.21 0.51
Chicago PD (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.42 0.72
The Good Place (O) Renewed 1.29 0.59
Taken (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.18 0.48
Chicago Justice (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.21 0.51
Law & Order: SVU (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.42 0.72
Chicago Fire (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.59 0.89
This Is Us Renewed 2.68 1.98

 

“Powerless” is an apt title for the show it represents — everyday humans in a world where superheroes exist and are forever wrecking city blocks. It’s also a really, really easy punchline.

The show hasn’t done much of anything for NBC on Thursdays. Its season-low 0.5 rating last week was worse than reruns of “Trial & Error” (which is no smash) in the past couple weeks. It’s just a touch above replacement level, and even while NBC is in rebuild mode with its comedies, that’s not going to cut it.

“Powerless” is downgraded to a likely cancellation.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2017
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2017
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2017

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 before subtracting the replacement-level number.

 Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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