Here are NBC’s renew/cancel standings for week 31 of the 2017-18 season.

Show Status 18-49 rating Renew/Cancel Index
Taken (F) (O) DSW 0.44 -0.07
The Brave 🐻 🐻 0.91 0.21
Great News (O) 🐻 🐻 0.73 0.03
Champions (O) 🐻 🐻 0.51 -0.19
Timeless 🐻 🐻 0.61 -0.09
AP Bio (O) 🐻 🐻 0.74 0.04
The Blacklist 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.94 0.24
Law & Order True Crime (O) 🐻 🐻 1.04 0.34
Rise (O) 🐻 🐻 0.89 0.19
Blindspot (F) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 0.64 0.22
Chicago PD (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.21 0.51
Superstore (O) Renewed 1.02 0.32
Law & Order: SVU (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.28 0.58
Good Girls (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.04 0.34
The Good Place (O) Renewed 1.11 0.41
Chicago Fire (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.08 0.38
Chicago Med (O) 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 1.26 0.56
Will & Grace (O) Renewed 1.49 0.79
This Is Us Renewed 3.07 2.37

 

Aside from the fact that they’re both set in high schools, “AP Bio” and “Rise” could scarcely be different shows.

Well, except for the fact that the Bear is downgrading both of them to likely cancellations.

Both series have suffered from failure to launch this season. “AP Bio” has only been above 1.0 in adults 18-49 once, and it needed the Winter Olympics as a lead-in to get there. Take that episode away and it’s barely at replacement level (0.68).

“Rise” has created a trough at 9 p.m. on Tuesdays, falling off quite a bit from “The Voice” each week and giving “Chicago Med” a weaker starting point. Only a fool would have expected it to match the show it replaced in that timeslot, “This Is Us,” but it’s not even doing half of what “TIU” did earlier in the season.

NBC has some house-cleaning to do in a couple weeks. Expect both of these shows to go.

Key:

DSW Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing
🐻 sure bet to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 likely to be canceled by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 likely to be renewed by May 2018
🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 sure bet to be renewed by May 2018

 

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 before subtracting the replacement-level number.

 Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

Posted by:The Cancel Bear

The Cancel Bear is a bear who tracks and devours low-rated TV shows.

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